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Ontario Reign v Abbotsford Canucks

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 01:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ontario Reign (Local)

Prediction 53.15%1.88fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -3.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.98%53.15%53.02%54.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.761.801.8260.61%56.78%55.56%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Abbotsford Canucks (Visit)

Prediction 25.88%3.86fair odd
EV -6.57%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -2.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.53%25.88%25.90%28.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.493.503.6132.79%28.68%28.57%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.97%4.77fair odd
EV -7.51%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -2.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.31%20.97%21.08%23.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.174.104.4125.64%24.00%24.39%22.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ontario Reign (Local): 53.15%; Abbotsford Canucks (Visit): 25.88%; Draw: 20.97%. For Ontario Reign (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.82, with an expected value of -3.27%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.07%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.25%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.68%EV -8.35%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 22:50
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -14.01%E -3.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 22:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -14.01%E -3.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 22:50
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -14.01%E -3.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 22:50
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -14.01%E -3.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 22:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -14.01%E -3.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 22:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -14.01%E -3.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -14.01%E -3.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 22:50
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.86%EV -4.34%E -2.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.98%EV -10.45%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.17%EV -7.51%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 00:59
LeoVegas🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.98%EV -6.46%E -3.67%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%EV -18.20%E -4.67%K -6.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 22:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.26%EV -8.06%E -4.66%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -11.91%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 22:50
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.02%EV -9.12%E -5.33%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -9.81%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 01:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -7.72%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 01:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 51.55%EV -10.18%E -6.03%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.05%EV -17.16%E -4.34%K -5.82%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-19 00:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 51.26%EV -10.71%E -6.38%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.24%EV -21.06%E -6.91%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.50%EV -11.91%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-19 01:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.34%EV -11.78%E -7.09%K -17.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.94%EV -13.30%E -3.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.72%EV -16.11%E -4.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-19 01:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -12.31%E -7.46%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -7.72%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 22:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%5.3%2026-04-19 00:55
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%6.0%2026-04-19 01:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%7.6%2026-04-18 22:50
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%7.6%2026-04-19 01:05
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%8.2%2026-04-18 22:50
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%8.2%2026-04-18 22:50
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%8.2%2026-04-18 22:50
Smarkets◎1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%8.5%2026-04-18 22:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%9.0%2026-04-18 22:50
Kalshi◎1.20I 83.33%NM 58.90%1.72I 58.14%NM 41.10%41.5%2026-04-19 01:05