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Milwaukee Admirals v San Jose Barracuda

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Admirals (Local)

Prediction 33.58%2.98fair odd
EV -5.98%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -3.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.61%33.35%33.58%34.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.522.702.752.8039.68%37.00%36.36%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Jose Barracuda (Visit)

Prediction 43.51%2.30fair odd
EV -5.16%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -4.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.81%43.77%43.51%45.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.112.152.1850.76%47.39%46.51%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.92%4.36fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -0.613%
Kelly -0.801%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.87%22.88%22.92%24.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.873.804.2527.40%25.81%26.32%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Admirals (Local): 33.58%; San Jose Barracuda (Visit): 43.51%; Draw: 22.92%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.36. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.25, with an expected value of -2.60%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.98%E -2.14%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -5.59%E -2.58%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.80%EV -5.13%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 23:59
1xBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.58%EV -6.65%E -2.39%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.45%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -2.60%E -0.613%K -0.801%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 23:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -7.66%E -2.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.36%EV -6.46%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.04%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 23:59
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.50%EV -7.66%E -2.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.26%EV -5.16%E -2.37%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -12.92%E -3.40%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 00:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.50%EV -7.66%E -2.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.26%EV -5.16%E -2.37%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -12.92%E -3.40%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 23:59
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.50%EV -7.66%E -2.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.26%EV -5.16%E -2.37%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -12.92%E -3.40%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 23:59
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.50%EV -7.66%E -2.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.26%EV -5.16%E -2.37%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -12.92%E -3.40%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 23:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.50%EV -7.66%E -2.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.26%EV -5.16%E -2.37%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -12.92%E -3.40%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 23:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.50%EV -7.66%E -2.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.26%EV -5.16%E -2.37%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -12.92%E -3.40%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 23:59
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -7.66%E -2.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -14.06%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 23:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.61%EV -7.66%E -2.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.52%EV -14.29%E -7.26%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -6.04%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-08 00:00
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -9.34%E -3.46%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.81%EV -6.03%E -2.79%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -16.35%E -4.48%K -6.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 23:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.03%EV -11.02%E -4.16%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.14%EV -9.07%E -4.34%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%EV -9.48%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-07 23:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.74%EV -11.02%E -4.16%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -10.81%E -5.27%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.64%EV -9.48%E -2.40%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-07 23:59
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.84%EV -14.38%E -5.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.15%EV -12.99%E -6.49%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.01%EV -14.06%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-07 23:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.84%EV -14.38%E -5.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.15%EV -12.99%E -6.49%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.01%EV -14.06%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-08 00:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 33.96%EV -15.38%E -6.11%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.79%EV -12.99%E -6.49%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.25%EV -15.67%E -4.26%K -5.85%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-07 23:46
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%5.1%2026-03-07 23:59
Bet Right🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%5.3%2026-03-07 23:59
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%7.1%2026-03-08 00:00
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%7.6%2026-03-07 23:59
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%7.6%2026-03-08 00:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%7.9%2026-03-07 23:59
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%8.2%2026-03-08 00:00
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%8.3%2026-03-07 23:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.26%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%9.4%2026-03-07 23:59