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Milwaukee Admirals v Rockford IceHogs

Kickoff: 2026-03-12 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Admirals (Local)

Prediction 46.93%2.13fair odd
EV -5.21%
Edge -2.58%
Kelly -5.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.87%47.15%46.93%48.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.961.982.0254.05%51.08%50.51%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rockford IceHogs (Visit)

Prediction 30.64%3.26fair odd
EV -4.41%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.82%30.49%30.64%31.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.973.003.1236.36%33.70%33.33%32.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.44%4.46fair odd
EV -4.64%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.45%22.36%22.44%23.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.973.904.2526.67%25.17%25.64%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Admirals (Local): 46.93%; Rockford IceHogs (Visit): 30.64%; Draw: 22.44%. For Rockford IceHogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.26. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.12, with an expected value of -4.41%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -5.21%E -2.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-10 00:05
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -5.21%E -2.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-10 07:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -5.21%E -2.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-10 07:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -5.21%E -2.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-10 07:23
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -5.21%E -2.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-10 10:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -5.21%E -2.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-10 11:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -6.56%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-11 17:45
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -7.09%E -3.58%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.21%EV -4.41%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 22:40
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.39%EV -7.09%E -3.58%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.93%EV -9.01%E -3.03%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.68%EV -9.13%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-11 16:15
LeoVegas🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.87%EV -8.03%E -4.09%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -9.62%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-10 11:14
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-11 17:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.55%EV -9.43%E -4.89%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.15%E -3.85%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-11 17:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.93%EV -9.90%E -5.16%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -12.69%E -4.45%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-11 17:45
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.30%EV -11.78%E -6.27%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.09%EV -14.22%E -5.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.61%EV -13.61%E -3.54%K -4.78%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-11 23:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 46.57%EV -12.72%E -6.84%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -15.75%E -5.73%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.93%EV -11.37%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-11 17:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.36%EV -13.19%E -7.13%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.82%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-11 17:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 46.17%EV -13.19%E -7.13%K -15.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.06%EV -15.75%E -5.73%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.78%EV -15.86%E -4.23%K -5.77%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-11 23:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%3.2%2026-03-11 20:15
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%5.2%2026-03-11 23:50
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%5.2%2026-03-10 11:14
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%7.4%2026-03-11 23:49
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%8.0%2026-03-10 00:04
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%8.0%2026-03-10 09:55
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%8.0%2026-03-10 11:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%8.1%2026-03-11 23:50
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.95%8.3%2026-03-11 17:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%9.1%2026-03-11 16:10