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Milwaukee Admirals v Manitoba Moose

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Admirals (Local)

Prediction 37.40%2.67fair odd
EV -4.62%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -2.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.78%37.83%37.40%39.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.412.432.5544.44%41.52%41.15%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Manitoba Moose (Visit)

Prediction 39.20%2.55fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.28%38.73%39.20%39.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.382.402.4845.45%42.02%41.67%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.40%4.27fair odd
EV -6.42%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -2.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.70%23.44%23.40%24.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.803.754.0027.78%26.29%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Admirals (Local): 37.40%; Manitoba Moose (Visit): 39.20%; Draw: 23.40%. For Manitoba Moose (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.55. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.48, with an expected value of -2.78%; they did not produce positive expected value.

11 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.66%EV -6.65%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 20:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -6.49%E -2.60%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.42%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 08:24
1xBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.16%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -9.05%E -3.90%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 23.59%EV -9.69%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 12:43
Betway🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.78%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.18%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.03%EV -12.27%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-01 08:24
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -9.11%E -3.75%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -12.27%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 06:10
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -9.11%E -3.75%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -12.27%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 06:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -9.11%E -3.75%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -12.27%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 06:10
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -9.11%E -3.75%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -12.27%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 06:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -9.11%E -3.75%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -12.27%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 06:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -9.11%E -3.75%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -12.27%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 06:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 37.40%EV -9.86%E -4.09%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -9.93%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-01 08:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -10.23%E -4.26%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -6.42%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 08:24
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.12%EV -12.10%E -5.15%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.33%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.55%EV -14.61%E -4.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-01 06:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.61%EV -13.97%E -6.07%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.32%EV -13.76%E -6.25%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.07%EV -12.27%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-01 08:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.25%EV -13.97%E -6.07%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.95%EV -13.76%E -6.25%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.80%EV -15.78%E -4.38%K -6.07%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-01 20:33
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.77%EV -15.84%E -7.04%K -12.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.28%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -8.76%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-01 19:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (11)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%4.8%2026-03-01 08:59
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%5.3%2026-03-01 20:50
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%7.0%2026-03-01 20:25
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%7.0%2026-03-01 20:20
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%7.9%2026-03-01 08:59
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%8.1%2026-03-01 06:10
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%8.1%2026-03-01 06:10
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%8.1%2026-03-01 06:10
Smarkets◎1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%8.1%2026-03-01 09:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%8.2%2026-03-01 18:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%9.0%2026-03-01 09:24