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Milwaukee Admirals v Henderson Silver Knights

Kickoff: 2026-03-28 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Admirals (Local)

Prediction 39.59%2.53fair odd
EV -6.96%
Edge -2.96%
Kelly -5.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.26%39.58%39.59%40.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.272.302.3547.62%43.97%43.48%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Henderson Silver Knights (Visit)

Prediction 36.31%2.75fair odd
EV -7.40%
Edge -2.90%
Kelly -4.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.19%36.35%36.31%37.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.482.512.5544.44%40.34%39.84%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.10%4.15fair odd
EV +2.65%
Edge +0.622%
Kelly +0.812%
Growth +0.022%

assuming max odds 4.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.13%24.07%24.10%24.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.833.904.2628.17%26.14%25.64%23.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Admirals (Local): 39.59%; Henderson Silver Knights (Visit): 36.31%; Draw: 24.10%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.15. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.26, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.65%.

11 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.46%EV -7.76%E -3.33%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.41%EV -8.49%E -3.37%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.13%EV +2.65%E +0.622%K +0.812%G +0.022%6.1%2026-03-26 23:19
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.84%EV -11.72%E -5.25%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.28%EV -8.85%E -3.53%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.88%EV -4.10%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-28 00:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.62%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.03%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 23:05
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.82%EV -7.76%E -3.33%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.39%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -6.03%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-26 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.82%EV -7.76%E -3.33%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.39%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -6.03%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-26 23:05
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.82%EV -7.76%E -3.33%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.39%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -6.03%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-26 23:05
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.82%EV -7.76%E -3.33%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.39%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -6.03%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-26 23:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.82%EV -7.76%E -3.33%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.39%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -6.03%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-26 23:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.82%EV -7.76%E -3.33%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.39%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -6.03%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-26 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.92%E -4.85%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.80%EV -11.03%E -4.50%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -6.03%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-26 23:23
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.94%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -9.21%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.64%E -2.57%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-28 03:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 39.67%EV -10.13%E -4.46%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.31%EV -9.94%E -4.01%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -9.64%E -2.57%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-27 00:34
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.88%EV -10.92%E -4.85%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.19%EV -9.94%E -4.01%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV -9.64%E -2.57%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-26 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.56%EV -12.90%E -5.87%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.26%EV -12.84%E -5.35%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -13.26%E -3.68%K -5.10%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-28 01:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.26%EV -12.90%E -5.87%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.75%EV -14.66%E -6.24%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.99%EV -13.26%E -3.68%K -5.10%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-27 23:05
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.26%EV -12.90%E -5.87%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.75%EV -14.66%E -6.24%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.99%EV -13.26%E -3.68%K -5.10%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-27 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.61%EV -16.86%E -8.03%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.97%EV -18.29%E -8.13%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.43%EV -14.46%E -4.07%K -5.67%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-26 23:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (11)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%4.8%2026-03-26 06:44
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%5.1%2026-03-28 03:10
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%7.9%2026-03-26 00:05
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%8.0%2026-03-26 23:04
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%8.0%2026-03-26 23:05
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%8.0%2026-03-26 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%8.2%2026-03-28 02:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%8.2%2026-03-28 03:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.23%9.1%2026-03-28 03:00
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%10.6%2026-03-26 23:10
Kalshi◎1.32I 75.76%NM 54.17%1.56I 64.10%NM 45.83%39.9%2026-03-28 03:10