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Milwaukee Admirals v Grand Rapids Griffins

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 00:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Admirals (Local)

Prediction 29.85%3.35fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.83%29.67%29.85%31.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.852.992.953.2435.09%33.44%33.90%30.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Grand Rapids Griffins (Visit)

Prediction 47.69%2.10fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -2.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.64%47.76%47.69%49.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.951.942.0455.56%51.36%51.55%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.45%4.45fair odd
EV -4.57%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.47%22.58%22.45%23.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.973.954.2526.67%25.17%25.32%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Admirals (Local): 29.85%; Grand Rapids Griffins (Visit): 47.69%; Draw: 22.45%. For Grand Rapids Griffins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.10. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.04, with an expected value of -2.70%; they did not produce positive expected value.

11 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 28.84%EV -3.28%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.18%EV -9.38%E -4.94%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 23:59
GTbets🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.36%EV -5.09%E -2.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.71%EV -6.82%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 00:04
Unibet (UK)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.47%E -3.85%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 00:05
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -12.72%E -6.95%K -15.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-22 00:05
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -8.90%E -4.66%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-22 00:05
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.09%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.77%EV -7.95%E -4.12%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -12.43%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-22 00:05
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.06%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.48%EV -11.29%E -6.07%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-22 00:05
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.32%EV -11.94%E -4.05%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.29%EV -2.70%E -1.33%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.31%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 00:05
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.32%EV -11.94%E -4.05%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.29%EV -2.70%E -1.33%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.31%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 00:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.32%EV -11.94%E -4.05%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.29%EV -2.70%E -1.33%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.31%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 00:05
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.32%EV -11.94%E -4.05%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.29%EV -2.70%E -1.33%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.31%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.32%EV -11.94%E -4.05%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.29%EV -2.70%E -1.33%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.31%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.32%EV -11.94%E -4.05%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.29%EV -2.70%E -1.33%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.31%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 00:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.64%EV -13.43%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 47.75%EV -14.15%E -7.86%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.62%EV -14.68%E -3.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%16.4%2026-02-22 00:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.64%EV -13.43%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 47.75%EV -14.15%E -7.86%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.62%EV -14.68%E -3.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%16.4%2026-02-22 00:05
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -14.92%E -5.24%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.64%EV -3.66%E -1.81%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV -14.68%E -3.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-22 00:05
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -14.92%E -5.24%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.28%EV -10.33%E -5.50%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.20%EV -15.80%E -4.21%K -5.74%G +0.000%14.9%2026-02-21 23:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (11)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%4.7%2026-02-22 00:05
Bet Right🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%5.2%2026-02-21 23:59
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%6.6%2026-02-22 00:04
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%7.4%2026-02-22 00:04
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%7.6%2026-02-22 00:05
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%7.6%2026-02-22 00:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%8.1%2026-02-21 23:59
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%8.2%2026-02-22 00:05
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.42%8.3%2026-02-22 00:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%9.0%2026-02-21 23:59
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 38.13%1.14I 87.72%NM 61.87%41.8%2026-02-22 00:05