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Milwaukee Admirals v Grand Rapids Griffins

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 23:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Admirals (Local)

Prediction 47.32%2.11fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -2.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.05%47.57%47.35%49.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.891.872.0554.95%52.86%53.48%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Grand Rapids Griffins (Visit)

Prediction 30.21%3.31fair odd
EV -5.73%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -2.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.79%30.18%30.16%30.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.033.063.1236.36%33.03%32.68%32.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.46%4.45fair odd
EV +1.09%
Edge +0.242%
Kelly +0.311%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.58%22.25%22.49%23.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.214.194.5027.03%23.77%23.87%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Admirals (Local): 47.32%; Grand Rapids Griffins (Visit): 30.21%; Draw: 22.46%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.45. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.09%.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -11.51%E -6.15%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV +1.09%E +0.242%K +0.311%G +0.003%8.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -11.51%E -6.15%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV +1.09%E +0.242%K +0.311%G +0.003%8.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -11.51%E -6.15%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV +1.09%E +0.242%K +0.311%G +0.003%8.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -11.51%E -6.15%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV +1.09%E +0.242%K +0.311%G +0.003%8.0%2026-10-10 14:01
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -11.51%E -6.15%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV +1.09%E +0.242%K +0.311%G +0.003%8.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -11.51%E -6.15%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV +1.09%E +0.242%K +0.311%G +0.003%8.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -11.03%E -5.87%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -5.65%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-10 23:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -13.40%E -7.32%K -16.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -5.65%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-10 17:24
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.68%EV -7.25%E -3.70%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.96%EV -5.73%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.36%EV -6.10%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.03%EV -6.77%E -3.44%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-10 14:00
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.75%EV -7.24%E -2.36%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.20%EV -8.57%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 14:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.56%EV -10.09%E -5.31%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.31%EV -9.02%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-10 23:04
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -9.61%E -5.03%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -10.14%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-10 14:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.06%EV -9.61%E -5.03%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -10.14%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 47.47%EV -13.87%E -7.62%K -16.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.79%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.74%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%15.7%2026-10-10 23:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 46.43%EV -13.87%E -7.62%K -16.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.73%EV -16.91%E -6.15%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.84%EV -16.88%E -4.56%K -6.25%G +0.000%18.3%2026-10-10 22:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%5.2%2026-10-10 17:50
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%5.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%7.2%2026-10-10 17:50
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%7.4%2026-10-10 14:00
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%7.4%2026-10-10 14:01
Smarkets◎1.57I 63.69%NM 59.01%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.99%7.9%2026-10-10 14:01
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%8.0%2026-10-10 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%9.0%2026-10-10 17:45
Kalshi◎1.30I 76.92%NM 65.79%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.21%16.9%2026-10-10 23:01