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Milwaukee Admirals v Chicago Wolves

Kickoff: 2026-03-03 16:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Admirals (Local)

Prediction 40.64%2.46fair odd
EV -5.30%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -3.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.08%40.78%40.64%41.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.242.282.3347.17%44.64%43.86%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Wolves (Visit)

Prediction 36.44%2.74fair odd
EV -7.08%
Edge -2.78%
Kelly -4.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.55%36.41%36.44%37.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.372.482.502.5542.19%40.29%40.00%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.92%4.36fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -0.837%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.26%22.82%22.92%24.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.683.994.104.2127.17%25.04%24.39%23.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Admirals (Local): 40.64%; Chicago Wolves (Visit): 36.44%; Draw: 22.92%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.36. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.21, with an expected value of -3.52%; they did not produce positive expected value.

11 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.51%EV -5.30%E -2.27%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -3.75%E -0.893%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 16:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.60%EV -6.52%E -2.83%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.04%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 16:29
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.89%EV -6.92%E -3.02%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.87%EV -7.44%E -2.93%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.24%EV -3.52%E -0.837%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-03 16:29
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.52%EV -7.33%E -3.22%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.95%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -6.04%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-03 16:31
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.52%EV -7.33%E -3.22%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.95%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -6.04%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-03 16:30
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.52%EV -7.33%E -3.22%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.95%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -6.04%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-03 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.52%EV -7.33%E -3.22%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.95%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -6.04%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-03 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.52%EV -7.33%E -3.22%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.95%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -6.04%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-03 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.52%EV -7.33%E -3.22%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.95%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -6.04%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-03 16:30
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.28%EV -8.55%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -14.06%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-03 16:31
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -8.55%E -3.80%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.80%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -10.63%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-03 16:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 40.69%EV -10.18%E -4.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.26%EV -9.63%E -3.88%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -10.63%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-03 16:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -10.58%E -4.81%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -10.63%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-03 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -12.61%E -5.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -3.75%E -0.893%K -1.17%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-03 16:30
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.50%EV -12.61%E -5.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.28%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.22%EV -14.06%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-03 16:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.37%EV -12.61%E -5.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.17%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.46%EV -15.21%E -4.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-03 16:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 40.48%EV -13.83%E -6.53%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 36.21%EV -13.64%E -5.75%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.32%EV -15.67%E -4.26%K -5.85%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-03 16:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (11)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%5.1%2026-03-03 16:29
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%5.6%2026-03-03 16:30
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%6.8%2026-03-03 16:30
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%7.4%2026-03-03 16:30
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%7.4%2026-03-03 16:30
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%7.9%2026-03-03 16:26
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%8.2%2026-03-03 16:29
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%8.2%2026-03-03 16:30
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%8.4%2026-03-03 16:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.23%9.1%2026-03-03 16:29
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 53.09%1.72I 58.14%NM 46.91%23.9%2026-03-03 16:30