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Milwaukee Admirals v Chicago Wolves

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 23:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Admirals (Local)

Prediction 38.35%2.61fair odd
EV -5.67%
Edge -2.30%
Kelly -3.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.99%38.35%38.52%39.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.342.352.4644.44%42.76%42.55%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Wolves (Visit)

Prediction 38.36%2.61fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -0.858%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.38%38.36%38.90%39.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.422.402.5545.45%41.32%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.30%4.29fair odd
EV -0.992%
Edge -0.234%
Kelly -0.305%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.31%23.30%22.58%24.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.913.854.2527.78%25.60%25.97%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Admirals (Local): 38.35%; Chicago Wolves (Visit): 38.36%; Draw: 23.30%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.25, with an expected value of -0.992%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.34%EV -5.67%E -2.30%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.46%EV -8.33%E -3.48%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -0.992%E -0.234%K -0.305%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 04:15
1xBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.47%EV -6.82%E -2.81%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -2.16%E -0.514%K -0.674%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.55%EV -7.97%E -3.32%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.88%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -4.49%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 08:14
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.50%EV -9.89%E -4.21%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -2.19%E -0.858%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 09:50
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.50%EV -9.89%E -4.21%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -2.19%E -0.858%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 09:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.50%EV -9.89%E -4.21%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -2.19%E -0.858%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 09:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.50%EV -9.89%E -4.21%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -2.19%E -0.858%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 09:49
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.50%EV -9.89%E -4.21%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -2.19%E -0.858%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 09:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.50%EV -9.89%E -4.21%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -2.19%E -0.858%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 09:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.50%EV -9.89%E -4.21%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -2.19%E -0.858%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -10.31%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 09:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -9.89%E -4.21%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.20%EV -7.94%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -16.13%E -4.48%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 10:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 38.49%EV -10.27%E -4.39%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 38.99%EV -11.39%E -4.93%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -6.82%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 08:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.91%EV -11.80%E -5.13%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.78%EV -13.70%E -6.09%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -2.16%E -0.514%K -0.674%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 23:05
LeoVegas🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.57%EV -12.57%E -5.51%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.38%EV -4.87%E -1.97%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -12.64%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 09:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.58%EV -13.72%E -6.10%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.58%EV -13.70%E -6.09%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.84%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-11 22:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.46%EV -13.72%E -6.10%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.46%EV -13.70%E -6.09%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -12.64%E -3.37%K -4.60%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-11 23:03
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.24%EV -13.72%E -6.10%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.11%EV -15.61%E -7.10%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.64%EV -11.48%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-11 23:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%4.8%2026-04-11 23:05
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%5.0%2026-04-11 23:00
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%5.3%2026-04-11 22:49
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%7.3%2026-04-11 07:24
Bally Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%7.3%2026-04-11 07:24
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%7.9%2026-04-11 07:24
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%8.1%2026-04-11 07:59
Smarkets◎1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%8.1%2026-04-11 11:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%9.3%2026-04-11 07:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%9.3%2026-04-11 07:24