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Manitoba Moose v Tucson Roadrunners

Kickoff: 2026-03-24 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Manitoba Moose (Local)

Prediction 36.25%2.76fair odd
EV -5.39%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -3.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.76%36.51%36.25%37.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.502.552.6143.48%39.98%39.22%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tucson Roadrunners (Visit)

Prediction 40.82%2.45fair odd
EV -4.89%
Edge -2.10%
Kelly -3.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.68%40.63%40.82%41.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.262.292.3348.78%44.33%43.76%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.93%4.36fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -0.433%
Kelly -0.564%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.87%22.85%22.93%23.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.633.984.004.2827.55%25.11%25.00%23.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Manitoba Moose (Local): 36.25%; Tucson Roadrunners (Visit): 40.82%; Draw: 22.93%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.36. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.28, with an expected value of -1.85%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.12%EV -5.39%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.53%EV -7.34%E -3.23%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.34%EV -3.23%E -0.765%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-23 23:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.75%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.89%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -5.98%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-23 23:59
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.60%EV -7.56%E -2.97%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.06%EV -4.89%E -2.10%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.27%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 00:00
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.60%EV -7.56%E -2.97%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.06%EV -4.89%E -2.10%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.27%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 00:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.60%EV -7.56%E -2.97%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.06%EV -4.89%E -2.10%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.27%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 00:00
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.60%EV -7.56%E -2.97%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.06%EV -4.89%E -2.10%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.27%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.60%EV -7.56%E -2.97%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.06%EV -4.89%E -2.10%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.27%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-23 23:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.60%EV -7.56%E -2.97%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.06%EV -4.89%E -2.10%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.27%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 00:00
Betway🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.76%EV -7.56%E -2.97%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -10.20%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -8.27%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-23 23:59
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -9.38%E -3.75%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.69%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 21.87%EV -1.85%E -0.433%K -0.564%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 23:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.07%EV -9.38%E -3.75%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.94%EV -12.24%E -5.69%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -5.98%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-23 23:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 36.12%EV -9.74%E -3.91%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.52%EV -9.38%E -4.23%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -11.71%E -3.04%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-23 23:59
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.80%EV -11.19%E -4.57%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -10.57%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-24 00:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 36.09%EV -14.09%E -5.94%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 40.35%EV -13.47%E -6.35%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 23.56%EV -16.76%E -4.62%K -6.37%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-23 23:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -14.81%E -6.30%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -8.27%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-23 23:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.34%EV -16.63%E -7.23%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 40.77%EV -16.32%E -7.96%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 22.90%EV -16.30%E -4.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-23 23:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%5.1%2026-03-23 23:59
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%5.6%2026-03-24 00:00
Bally Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%7.3%2026-03-24 00:00
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%7.3%2026-03-24 00:00
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%7.9%2026-03-23 23:59
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%7.9%2026-03-23 23:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%8.2%2026-03-23 23:59
Smarkets◎1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%8.3%2026-03-24 00:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.23%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%9.1%2026-03-23 23:59