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Manitoba Moose v Milwaukee Admirals

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Manitoba Moose (Local)

Prediction 37.39%2.67fair odd
EV -4.66%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -3.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.26%37.52%37.39%38.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.462.492.5544.44%40.69%40.16%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Admirals (Visit)

Prediction 39.37%2.54fair odd
EV -5.13%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -3.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.20%38.94%39.37%39.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.312.332.4146.51%43.28%42.92%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.25%4.30fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -0.734%
Kelly -0.965%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.90%23.54%23.25%24.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.883.854.1727.78%25.79%25.97%23.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Manitoba Moose (Local): 37.39%; Milwaukee Admirals (Visit): 39.37%; Draw: 23.25%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.30. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.17, with an expected value of -3.06%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.99%EV -4.66%E -1.83%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.31%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.70%EV -7.48%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 23:59
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.27%EV -4.66%E -1.83%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.70%EV -8.28%E -3.55%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -10.50%E -2.73%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 00:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.27%EV -4.66%E -1.83%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.70%EV -8.28%E -3.55%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -10.50%E -2.73%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 00:00
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.27%EV -4.66%E -1.83%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.70%EV -8.28%E -3.55%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -10.50%E -2.73%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 00:00
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.27%EV -4.66%E -1.83%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.70%EV -8.28%E -3.55%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -10.50%E -2.73%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.27%EV -4.66%E -1.83%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.70%EV -8.28%E -3.55%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -10.50%E -2.73%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 00:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.27%EV -4.66%E -1.83%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.70%EV -8.28%E -3.55%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -10.50%E -2.73%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 00:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.53%E -2.61%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.01%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 23:59
LeoVegas🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.26%EV -7.28%E -2.94%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -10.25%E -4.49%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.30%EV -13.99%E -3.78%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-20 00:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -9.15%E -3.77%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.52%EV -10.25%E -4.49%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.40%EV -10.50%E -2.73%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-20 00:00
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.79%EV -9.90%E -4.11%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.79%EV -5.13%E -2.13%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.42%EV -3.06%E -0.734%K -0.965%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 23:59
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -10.27%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.46%E -4.11%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -7.01%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-19 23:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.20%EV -12.14%E -5.17%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.90%EV -11.43%E -5.08%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -4.69%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-20 00:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -12.14%E -5.17%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.20%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -16.31%E -4.53%K -6.27%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-20 00:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.13%EV -14.01%E -6.09%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 39.35%EV -14.58%E -6.72%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 23.52%EV -15.61%E -4.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-19 23:58
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.12%EV -15.88%E -7.06%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.89%EV -15.36%E -7.15%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.99%EV -9.34%E -2.39%K -3.22%G +0.000%16.6%2026-03-20 00:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 52.59%2.13I 46.95%NM 47.41%-1.0%2026-03-20 00:00
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%4.8%2026-03-20 00:00
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%5.3%2026-03-19 23:59
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%7.4%2026-03-20 00:00
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%7.4%2026-03-20 00:00
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%7.9%2026-03-20 00:00
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%7.9%2026-03-20 00:00
Smarkets◎1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%8.2%2026-03-20 00:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%8.2%2026-03-19 23:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%9.0%2026-03-19 23:59