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Manitoba Moose v Milwaukee Admirals

Kickoff: 2026-04-25 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Manitoba Moose (Local)

Prediction 47.54%2.10fair odd
EV -4.93%
Edge -2.46%
Kelly -4.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%47.54%47.55%48.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.941.932.0052.63%51.55%51.81%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Admirals (Visit)

Prediction 52.46%1.91fair odd
EV -4.52%
Edge -2.48%
Kelly -5.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.35%52.46%52.45%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.791.791.8257.14%55.94%55.87%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Manitoba Moose (Local): 47.54%; Milwaukee Admirals (Visit): 52.46%. For Milwaukee Admirals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.82, with an expected value of -4.52%; they did not produce positive expected value.

15 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.93%E -2.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.52%E -2.48%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 08:24
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.93%E -2.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.14%E -4.03%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 08:19
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -8.25%E -4.28%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -6.09%E -3.40%K -7.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 05:25
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -8.25%E -4.28%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -6.09%E -3.40%K -7.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 05:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.25%E -4.28%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -8.19%E -4.68%K -10.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 00:10
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -8.73%E -4.55%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -6.62%E -3.72%K -8.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 05:25
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.20%E -4.82%K -10.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.57%E -3.09%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 08:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.68%E -5.09%K -10.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.57%E -3.09%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 00:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%8.2%2026-04-24 01:30
Smarkets◎1.90I 52.63%NM 47.66%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%10.4%2026-04-23 08:19

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (15)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
GTbets🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.16%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.80%5.9%2026-04-23 06:00
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.29%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.58%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%8.1%2026-04-23 05:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.29%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.58%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%8.1%2026-04-23 05:24
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.29%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.58%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%8.1%2026-04-23 05:24
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.29%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.58%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%8.1%2026-04-23 05:25
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.29%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.58%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%8.1%2026-04-23 05:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.29%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.58%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%8.1%2026-04-23 05:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.29%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.58%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%8.1%2026-04-23 05:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%8.3%2026-04-24 00:05
1xBet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.01%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%9.8%2026-04-24 03:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%11.3%2026-04-23 08:29
LeoVegas🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.19%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%11.4%2026-04-23 05:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 36.11%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.91%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.98%12.1%2026-04-23 08:23
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.82%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.94%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.24%16.3%2026-04-24 00:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.45%2.05I 48.78%NM 40.89%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.66%19.3%2026-04-23 08:30