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Manitoba Moose v Chicago Wolves

2026-10-03 19:00 UTC — AHL

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Manitoba Moose (Local)

Prediction 52.91%1.89fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -3.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.41%53.11%52.95%54.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.751.751.8462.50%57.05%57.14%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Wolves (Visit)

Prediction 25.21%3.97fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -0.966%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.51%24.95%25.15%28.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.433.483.8231.25%29.15%28.74%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.88%4.57fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.341%
Kelly -0.438%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.55%21.94%21.89%22.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.284.304.5025.97%23.34%23.26%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Manitoba Moose (Local): 52.91%; Chicago Wolves (Visit): 25.21%; Draw: 21.88%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.57. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.50, with an expected value of -1.53%; they do not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.41%EV -2.65%E -1.44%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -19.32%E -6.04%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -1.53%E -0.341%K -0.438%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-03 09:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -3.18%E -1.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -19.32%E -6.04%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -1.53%E -0.341%K -0.438%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-03 09:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -3.18%E -1.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -19.32%E -6.04%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -1.53%E -0.341%K -0.438%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-03 09:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -3.18%E -1.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -19.32%E -6.04%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -1.53%E -0.341%K -0.438%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-03 09:40
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -3.18%E -1.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -19.32%E -6.04%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -1.53%E -0.341%K -0.438%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-03 09:41
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -3.18%E -1.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -19.32%E -6.04%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -1.53%E -0.341%K -0.438%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-03 09:41
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -3.18%E -1.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -19.32%E -6.04%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -1.53%E -0.341%K -0.438%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-03 09:41
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.27%EV -6.36%E -3.59%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.01%EV -4.95%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.72%EV -5.03%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-03 07:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.19%EV -7.41%E -4.24%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -5.91%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-03 07:39
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.13%EV -9.53%E -5.57%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -8.10%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-03 07:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.67%EV -9.53%E -5.57%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -10.50%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -10.29%E -2.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-03 07:39
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.06%EV -10.06%E -5.92%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.06%EV -3.69%E -0.966%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.10%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-03 09:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.16%EV -10.06%E -5.92%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -5.91%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-03 07:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.48%EV -10.06%E -5.92%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.03%EV -11.38%E -2.81%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-03 07:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 52.41%EV -10.59%E -6.27%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.45%EV -12.26%E -3.52%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -12.47%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-03 07:43
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -12.70%E -7.70%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -4.19%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -12.47%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 07:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 52.20%EV -15.35%E -9.59%K -25.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.10%EV -19.32%E -6.04%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.69%EV -15.76%E -4.09%K -5.53%G +0.000%19.7%2026-10-03 07:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%5.3%2026-10-03 08:25
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%6.0%2026-10-03 07:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%7.0%2026-10-03 08:20
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%7.9%2026-10-03 09:41
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%7.9%2026-10-03 09:41
Smarkets◎1.43I 69.93%NM 64.69%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.31%8.1%2026-10-03 07:40
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%8.2%2026-10-03 09:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%9.0%2026-10-03 08:20
Kalshi◎1.30I 76.92%NM 51.31%1.37I 72.99%NM 48.69%49.9%2026-10-03 13:00