The School of Odds
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Lehigh Valley Phantoms v Syracuse Crunch

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 23:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lehigh Valley Phantoms (Local)

Prediction 34.74%2.88fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -0.976%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.05%34.55%34.74%36.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.652.672.8041.67%37.73%37.38%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Syracuse Crunch (Visit)

Prediction 43.01%2.32fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -2.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.98%42.95%43.01%45.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.102.062.2550.76%47.66%48.54%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.25%4.49fair odd
EV -5.23%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.30%22.50%22.25%24.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.554.074.204.2628.17%24.60%23.81%23.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lehigh Valley Phantoms (Local): 34.74%; Syracuse Crunch (Visit): 43.01%; Draw: 22.25%. For Lehigh Valley Phantoms (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -2.73%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.05%EV -2.73%E -0.976%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -11.39%E -5.53%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 08:29
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.05%EV -2.73%E -0.976%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -11.39%E -5.53%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 08:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.05%EV -2.73%E -0.976%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -11.39%E -5.53%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 08:29
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.05%EV -2.73%E -0.976%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -11.39%E -5.53%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 08:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.05%EV -2.73%E -0.976%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -11.39%E -5.53%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 08:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.05%EV -2.73%E -0.976%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -11.39%E -5.53%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 08:30
GTbets🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.05%EV -3.43%E -1.23%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.62%EV -6.66%E -3.07%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.33%EV -5.67%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 21:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.18%EV -6.21%E -2.30%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.48%EV -15.26%E -7.75%K -15.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-24 21:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -7.94%E -3.00%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.52%E -3.50%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 21:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -9.68%E -3.72%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 42.99%EV -10.10%E -4.83%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-24 21:25
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.20%EV -10.38%E -4.02%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.88%EV -4.08%E -1.83%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 21.92%EV -5.23%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 23:04
Betway🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -11.42%E -4.48%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.28%EV -3.22%E -1.43%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -16.57%E -4.42%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.07%EV -11.42%E -4.48%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -11.82%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-24 21:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.82%EV -16.63%E -6.93%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.94%EV -9.67%E -4.60%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.24%EV -17.69%E -4.78%K -6.55%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-24 23:08
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.81%EV -16.63%E -6.93%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.98%EV -7.52%E -3.50%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.21%EV -21.02%E -5.92%K -8.24%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-24 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.58%EV -16.63%E -6.93%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.65%EV -11.82%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.77%EV -16.57%E -4.42%K -6.03%G +0.000%17.1%2026-10-24 23:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%5.2%2026-10-24 23:00
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%5.6%2026-10-24 23:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%7.6%2026-10-24 21:25
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%7.9%2026-10-24 08:30
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%7.9%2026-10-24 08:30
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%7.9%2026-10-24 08:29
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 45.55%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.45%8.7%2026-10-24 21:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.26%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%9.4%2026-10-24 21:25
Kalshi◎1.35I 74.07%NM 47.67%1.23I 81.30%NM 52.33%55.4%2026-10-24 23:10