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Lehigh Valley Phantoms v Hartford Wolf Pack

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 20:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lehigh Valley Phantoms (Local)

Prediction 42.02%2.38fair odd
EV -6.31%
Edge -2.83%
Kelly -5.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.19%42.58%42.02%44.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.202.2350.00%46.31%45.45%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hartford Wolf Pack (Visit)

Prediction 35.23%2.84fair odd
EV -6.64%
Edge -2.51%
Kelly -4.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.83%35.01%35.23%36.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.562.592.6541.67%39.09%38.61%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.76%4.39fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -0.718%
Kelly -0.938%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.35%22.41%22.76%23.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.034.104.2626.67%24.82%24.39%23.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lehigh Valley Phantoms (Local): 42.02%; Hartford Wolf Pack (Visit): 35.23%; Draw: 22.76%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.26, with an expected value of -3.06%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.88%EV -6.31%E -2.83%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.20%EV -9.11%E -3.53%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 21.92%EV -3.06%E -0.718%K -0.938%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 20:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.03%EV -6.73%E -3.03%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.64%E -2.51%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 20:04
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.97%EV -7.57%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -8.41%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 20:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.97%EV -7.57%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -8.41%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 20:09
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.97%EV -7.57%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -8.41%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 20:09
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.97%EV -7.57%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -8.41%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 20:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.97%EV -7.57%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -8.41%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 20:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.97%EV -7.57%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -8.41%E -3.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 20:09
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -7.57%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.76%EV -10.17%E -3.99%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -8.98%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 20:09
LeoVegas🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.77%EV -9.25%E -4.28%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -10.17%E -3.99%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -10.11%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-01 20:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.94%EV -9.67%E -4.50%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.07%EV -11.93%E -4.77%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-01 20:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.00%EV -10.09%E -4.71%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.25%EV -10.17%E -3.99%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.75%EV -10.11%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 20:09
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -11.77%E -5.60%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -11.93%E -4.77%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -14.66%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-01 20:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.19%EV -11.77%E -5.60%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.04%EV -15.45%E -6.44%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.76%EV -13.53%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-01 20:07
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.65%EV -13.87%E -6.77%K -13.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.58%EV -15.45%E -6.44%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.77%EV -14.66%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-01 20:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -15.97%E -7.98%K -15.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.83%EV -6.64%E -2.51%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 20:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%5.3%2026-03-01 20:04
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%5.6%2026-03-01 20:09
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%6.3%2026-03-01 19:58
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%7.5%2026-03-01 20:09
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%7.5%2026-03-01 20:10
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%7.8%2026-03-01 20:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%8.1%2026-03-01 20:04
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%8.2%2026-03-01 20:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%9.1%2026-03-01 20:04
Kalshi◎1.03I 97.09%NM 59.92%1.54I 64.94%NM 40.08%62.0%2026-03-01 20:10