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Lehigh Valley Phantoms v Charlotte Checkers

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 00:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lehigh Valley Phantoms (Local)

Prediction 32.52%3.07fair odd
EV -5.36%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -2.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.92%32.23%32.52%33.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.772.802.9138.46%36.10%35.71%34.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charlotte Checkers (Visit)

Prediction 45.15%2.21fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -2.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.41%45.46%45.15%47.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.062.092.1452.63%48.59%47.85%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.33%4.48fair odd
EV -6.22%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.35%22.31%22.33%24.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.683.933.854.2027.17%25.45%25.97%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lehigh Valley Phantoms (Local): 32.52%; Charlotte Checkers (Visit): 45.15%; Draw: 22.33%. For Charlotte Checkers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.14, with an expected value of -3.38%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.43%EV -5.36%E -1.84%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -5.19%E -2.47%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.63%EV -6.89%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 00:06
Tipico (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -5.68%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.20%EV -14.22%E -7.48%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -8.45%E -2.06%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-08 00:09
1xBet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.33%E -2.20%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -5.64%E -2.70%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 22.85%EV -8.67%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 00:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.33%E -2.20%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.85%EV -6.09%E -2.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -8.45%E -2.06%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 00:04
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.94%EV -8.93%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.10%EV -3.38%E -1.58%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -14.03%E -3.65%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.94%EV -8.93%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.10%EV -3.38%E -1.58%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -14.03%E -3.65%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 00:09
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.94%EV -8.93%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.10%EV -3.38%E -1.58%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -14.03%E -3.65%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 00:08
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.94%EV -8.93%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.10%EV -3.38%E -1.58%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -14.03%E -3.65%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 00:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.94%EV -8.93%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.10%EV -3.38%E -1.58%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -14.03%E -3.65%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 00:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.94%EV -8.93%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.10%EV -3.38%E -1.58%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -14.03%E -3.65%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 00:08
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.56%E -3.84%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.70%E -4.85%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -6.22%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 00:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.61%EV -10.56%E -3.84%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.40%EV -8.80%E -4.36%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -12.92%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-08 00:09
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -12.19%E -4.51%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.41%EV -4.29%E -2.02%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.30%EV -17.38%E -4.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-08 00:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.83%EV -13.81%E -5.21%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.70%E -4.85%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -6.22%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-08 00:09
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.69%EV -13.81%E -5.21%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.20%EV -11.51%E -5.87%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.10%EV -16.27%E -4.34%K -5.92%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-08 00:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 32.65%EV -14.79%E -5.64%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.10%EV -12.41%E -6.40%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.25%EV -17.83%E -4.85%K -6.65%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-08 00:03
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.06%EV -15.44%E -5.94%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.31%EV -12.41%E -6.40%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.62%EV -15.15%E -3.99%K -5.41%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-08 00:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%5.3%2026-03-08 00:09
Bet Right🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%5.4%2026-03-08 00:04
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%7.5%2026-03-08 00:09
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%7.6%2026-03-08 00:09
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%7.6%2026-03-08 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%7.9%2026-03-08 00:04
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%8.1%2026-03-08 00:09
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%8.6%2026-03-08 00:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%9.0%2026-03-08 00:04
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 54.57%1.79I 55.87%NM 45.43%23.0%2026-03-08 00:09