The School of Odds
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Laval Rocket v Syracuse Crunch

Kickoff: 2026-10-21 23:08 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Laval Rocket (Local)

Prediction 44.38%2.25fair odd
EV +2.08%
Edge +0.905%
Kelly +1.60%
Growth +0.033%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.34%44.38%43.81%45.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.122.142.3051.28%47.17%46.73%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Syracuse Crunch (Visit)

Prediction 33.02%3.03fair odd
EV -4.58%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.89%33.02%33.54%39.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.622.652.8944.44%38.15%37.74%34.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.60%4.42fair odd
EV -3.73%
Edge -0.875%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.90%22.60%22.65%23.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.054.114.2627.40%24.68%24.33%23.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Laval Rocket (Local): 44.38%; Syracuse Crunch (Visit): 33.02%; Draw: 22.60%. For Laval Rocket (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.25. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.08%.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV +2.08%E +0.905%K +1.60%G +0.033%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -24.06%E -10.46%K -18.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -7.34%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-21 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.34%EV -0.137%E -0.061%K -0.110%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.34%EV -25.71%E -11.43%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.32%EV -16.38%E -4.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-21 23:00
GTbets🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.60%EV -1.91%E -0.865%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.49%EV -9.86%E -3.61%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.91%EV -7.12%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 22:59
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.16%EV -5.02%E -2.35%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.85%EV -12.50%E -4.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -5.08%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-21 22:00
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.16%EV -5.02%E -2.35%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.85%EV -12.50%E -4.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -5.08%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-21 22:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.16%EV -5.02%E -2.35%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.85%EV -12.50%E -4.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -5.08%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-21 22:00
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.16%EV -5.02%E -2.35%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.85%EV -12.50%E -4.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -5.08%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-21 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.16%EV -5.02%E -2.35%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.85%EV -12.50%E -4.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -5.08%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-21 22:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.16%EV -5.02%E -2.35%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.85%EV -12.50%E -4.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -5.08%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-21 22:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.71%EV -5.91%E -2.79%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.34%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-21 21:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.65%EV -8.13%E -3.93%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.88%EV -10.73%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-21 22:00
1xBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -9.01%E -4.40%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.38%EV -4.58%E -1.59%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 21.97%EV -3.73%E -0.875%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-21 22:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.12%EV -9.01%E -4.40%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.54%EV -17.46%E -6.98%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.34%EV -16.38%E -4.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-21 23:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 43.09%EV -13.01%E -6.64%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.78%EV -17.46%E -6.98%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.14%EV -17.51%E -4.80%K -6.61%G +0.000%18.4%2026-10-21 22:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.79%EV -13.45%E -6.90%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.89%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -9.60%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-21 22:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%4.7%2026-10-21 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%5.3%2026-10-21 22:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%6.8%2026-10-21 22:55
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%7.3%2026-10-21 21:59
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%7.3%2026-10-21 22:00
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%7.8%2026-10-21 22:00
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%8.0%2026-10-21 21:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%9.4%2026-10-21 22:55
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 48.15%1.69I 59.17%NM 51.85%14.1%2026-10-21 23:05