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Laval Rocket v Rochester Americans

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 20:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Laval Rocket (Local)

Prediction 41.95%2.38fair odd
EV -4.36%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -3.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.23%42.13%41.95%43.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.212.232.2848.78%45.26%44.94%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rochester Americans (Visit)

Prediction 35.08%2.85fair odd
EV -5.63%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -3.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.84%34.78%35.08%35.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.602.632.6940.82%38.47%38.02%37.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.97%4.35fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -0.896%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.29%23.09%22.97%24.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.853.804.1928.17%25.94%26.32%23.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Laval Rocket (Local): 41.95%; Rochester Americans (Visit): 35.08%; Draw: 22.97%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.35. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.19, with an expected value of -3.75%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -4.36%E -1.91%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.14%EV -7.73%E -2.94%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -12.71%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 20:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -4.36%E -1.91%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.14%EV -7.73%E -2.94%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -12.71%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 20:04
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -4.36%E -1.91%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.14%EV -7.73%E -2.94%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -12.71%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 20:04
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -4.36%E -1.91%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.14%EV -7.73%E -2.94%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -12.71%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 20:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -4.36%E -1.91%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.14%EV -7.73%E -2.94%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -12.71%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 20:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -4.36%E -1.91%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.14%EV -7.73%E -2.94%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -12.71%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 20:04
GTbets🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.10%EV -6.04%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.06%EV -5.63%E -2.09%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.84%EV -5.13%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 19:59
LeoVegas🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.23%EV -6.46%E -2.90%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.18%EV -10.54%E -4.13%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -16.16%E -4.43%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-07 20:04
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.07%EV -6.88%E -3.10%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -8.08%E -3.08%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.29%EV -3.75%E -0.896%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 19:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.03%EV -6.88%E -3.10%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.03%E -2.65%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.82%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 20:00
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -8.78%E -3.38%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -13.86%E -3.70%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 20:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.65%EV -9.40%E -4.35%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.28%EV -10.54%E -4.13%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 20:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.76%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.21%EV -10.54%E -4.13%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-07 20:04
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.54%EV -11.91%E -5.67%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.89%EV -12.29%E -4.92%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.57%EV -15.01%E -4.06%K -5.56%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-07 20:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.84%EV -11.91%E -5.67%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.00%EV -14.05%E -5.73%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.16%EV -18.45%E -5.20%K -7.24%G +0.000%16.6%2026-03-07 20:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -14.01%E -6.83%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.84%EV -7.03%E -2.65%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%EV -8.12%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-07 20:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%5.4%2026-03-07 19:59
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%7.6%2026-03-07 20:04
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%7.6%2026-03-07 20:04
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%7.6%2026-03-07 20:04
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%8.1%2026-03-07 20:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%8.1%2026-03-07 19:59
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%8.4%2026-03-07 20:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%8.8%2026-03-07 19:59
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 38.11%1.01I 99.01%NM 61.89%60.0%2026-03-07 20:05