The School of Odds
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Laval Rocket v Hamilton Hammers

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 19:08 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Laval Rocket (Local)

Prediction 46.69%2.14fair odd
EV +0.858%
Edge +0.397%
Kelly +0.740%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.01%46.69%46.69%48.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.052.082.1654.64%48.88%48.08%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hamilton Hammers (Visit)

Prediction 31.64%3.16fair odd
EV -5.08%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -2.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.82%31.64%31.64%35.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.752.803.0039.22%36.37%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.67%4.62fair odd
EV -6.40%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -1.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.30%21.67%21.67%23.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.084.104.3227.03%24.52%24.39%23.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Laval Rocket (Local): 46.69%; Hamilton Hammers (Visit): 31.64%; Draw: 21.67%. For Laval Rocket (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.16, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.858%.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.25%EV +0.858%E +0.397%K +0.740%G +0.006%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.12%EV -15.84%E -5.95%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.63%EV -6.40%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 18:59
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.09%EV -1.94%E -0.926%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.92%EV -13.62%E -4.99%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 21.99%EV -8.78%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 19:00
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.44%EV -2.88%E -1.38%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -11.17%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 19:00
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.44%EV -2.88%E -1.38%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -11.17%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.44%EV -2.88%E -1.38%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -11.17%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 18:55
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.44%EV -2.88%E -1.38%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -11.17%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.44%EV -2.88%E -1.38%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -11.17%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.44%EV -2.88%E -1.38%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -11.17%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 18:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 44.50%EV -5.21%E -2.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.46%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -11.17%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 19:02
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.01%EV -6.61%E -3.31%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.74%EV -19.32%E -7.58%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.25%EV -19.83%E -5.36%K -7.35%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-24 19:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 43.90%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.57%EV -19.32%E -7.58%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.53%EV -17.67%E -4.65%K -6.31%G +0.000%16.8%2026-10-24 19:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -14.55%E -7.95%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -9.00%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-24 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%5.0%2026-10-24 19:05
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%5.3%2026-10-24 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%6.8%2026-10-24 18:55
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%7.4%2026-10-24 18:55
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%7.4%2026-10-24 18:55
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%8.2%2026-10-24 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%9.0%2026-10-24 18:55
Kalshi◎1.47I 68.03%NM 58.12%2.04I 49.02%NM 41.88%17.0%2026-10-24 19:05