The School of Odds
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Laval Rocket v Hamilton Hammers

2026-10-23 23:00 UTC — AHL

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Laval Rocket (Local)

Prediction 42.68%2.34fair odd
EV -5.26%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -4.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.11%42.68%42.26%44.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.082.062.2250.00%47.96%48.54%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hamilton Hammers (Visit)

Prediction 35.26%2.84fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.53%35.26%35.30%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.642.752.7542.55%37.84%36.36%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.07%4.53fair odd
EV -6.21%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -1.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.30%22.07%22.43%22.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.134.234.2527.03%24.19%23.64%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Laval Rocket (Local): 42.68%; Hamilton Hammers (Visit): 35.26%; Draw: 22.07%. For Hamilton Hammers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.84. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.75, with an expected value of -3.04%; they do not produce positive expected value.

7 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%EV -5.26%E -2.37%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.36%EV -11.51%E -4.58%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.53%EV -10.63%E -2.62%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-22 11:15
GTbets🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.51%EV -7.82%E -3.62%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.17%EV -3.04%E -1.11%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.32%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-22 11:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 42.23%EV -9.10%E -4.27%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.28%EV -10.09%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49%EV -11.73%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-22 11:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.16%EV -10.38%E -4.94%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.42%EV -12.83%E -3.25%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-22 11:09
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.77%EV -12.09%E -5.87%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -3.04%E -1.11%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.21%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-22 11:10
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.77%EV -12.09%E -5.87%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -3.04%E -1.11%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.21%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-22 11:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.77%EV -12.09%E -5.87%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -3.04%E -1.11%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.21%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-22 11:10
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.77%EV -12.09%E -5.87%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -3.04%E -1.11%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.21%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-22 11:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.77%EV -12.09%E -5.87%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -3.04%E -1.11%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.21%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-22 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.77%EV -12.09%E -5.87%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -3.04%E -1.11%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -6.21%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-22 11:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -12.51%E -6.10%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.07%EV -10.09%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-22 12:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 41.81%EV -14.65%E -7.32%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.59%EV -17.15%E -7.30%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.60%EV -18.35%E -4.96%K -6.80%G +0.000%19.6%2026-10-22 11:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (7)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%5.1%2026-10-22 11:10
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%6.3%2026-10-22 11:10
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%7.4%2026-10-22 11:09
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%7.4%2026-10-22 11:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%7.6%2026-10-22 11:10
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%8.2%2026-10-22 11:10
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 53.37%1.82I 54.95%NM 46.63%17.8%2026-10-22 11:10