The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Laval Rocket v Belleville Senators

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 19:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Laval Rocket (Local)

Prediction 47.21%2.12fair odd
EV -3.21%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -3.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.88%47.61%47.19%49.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.951.962.0555.56%51.30%50.89%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Belleville Senators (Visit)

Prediction 30.33%3.30fair odd
EV -5.96%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -2.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.90%30.05%30.39%31.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.993.043.1035.71%33.39%32.84%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.45%4.45fair odd
EV -4.35%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.33%22.34%22.42%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.014.004.2627.03%24.97%25.00%23.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Laval Rocket (Local): 47.21%; Belleville Senators (Visit): 30.33%; Draw: 22.45%. For Laval Rocket (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.12. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.05, with an expected value of -3.21%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.88%EV -3.21%E -1.57%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.67%EV -9.91%E -3.34%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.45%EV -5.93%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 04:19
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.39%EV -5.57%E -2.79%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.42%EV -7.48%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.39%EV -5.57%E -2.79%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.42%EV -7.48%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:44
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.39%EV -5.57%E -2.79%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.42%EV -7.48%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:45
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.39%EV -5.57%E -2.79%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.42%EV -7.48%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.39%EV -5.57%E -2.79%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.42%EV -7.48%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.39%EV -5.57%E -2.79%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.42%EV -7.48%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.39%EV -5.57%E -2.79%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.42%EV -7.48%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:44
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.26%EV -6.52%E -3.29%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.78%EV -7.79%E -2.56%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 21.96%EV -4.35%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 18:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.54%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.48%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -5.70%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 17:30
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -9.00%E -3.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 19:04
LeoVegas🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.39%EV -8.88%E -4.60%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -10.52%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -13.56%E -3.52%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 11:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.68%EV -9.35%E -4.87%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.91%EV -12.03%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 19:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.19%EV -10.29%E -5.42%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -10.52%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 17:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.78%EV -10.29%E -5.42%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.13%EV -10.52%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.09%EV -13.56%E -3.52%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 19:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 46.15%EV -12.18%E -6.55%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.65%EV -15.07%E -5.38%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.20%EV -16.93%E -4.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-11 19:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 46.96%EV -12.65%E -6.84%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.48%EV -13.55%E -4.75%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.56%EV -13.56%E -3.52%K -4.76%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-11 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -15.01%E -8.34%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -5.70%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 17:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%5.2%2026-04-11 18:50
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%5.2%2026-04-11 19:05
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%6.9%2026-04-11 07:59
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%7.3%2026-04-11 09:30
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%7.3%2026-04-11 09:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%8.1%2026-04-11 04:15
Smarkets◎1.57I 63.69%NM 58.79%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.21%8.3%2026-04-11 17:35
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%9.1%2026-04-11 09:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%9.1%2026-04-11 07:25
Kalshi◎1.27I 78.74%NM 65.21%2.38I 42.02%NM 34.79%20.8%2026-04-11 19:05