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Iowa Wild v Milwaukee Admirals

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iowa Wild (Local)

Prediction 28.46%3.51fair odd
EV -7.50%
Edge -2.31%
Kelly -3.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.02%28.42%28.46%31.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.093.103.2534.48%32.37%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Admirals (Visit)

Prediction 48.34%2.07fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -3.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%48.39%48.34%48.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.921.952.0054.95%52.05%51.28%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.20%4.31fair odd
EV -5.36%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.53%23.19%23.20%23.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.934.004.0827.78%25.43%25.00%24.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iowa Wild (Local): 28.46%; Milwaukee Admirals (Visit): 48.34%; Draw: 23.20%. For Milwaukee Admirals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.07. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.00, with an expected value of -3.31%; they did not produce positive expected value.

11 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.73%E -2.94%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 00:34
GTbets🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 29.21%EV -8.07%E -2.50%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.66%EV -4.28%E -2.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.13%EV -5.36%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 00:29
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.66%E -4.01%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-25 00:35
Codere (IT)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.16%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.44%EV -10.08%E -5.42%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.40%EV -10.70%E -2.78%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-24 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -11.53%E -6.30%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -9.54%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-25 00:10
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.93%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.87%EV -4.28%E -2.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-23 19:34
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.99%EV -4.76%E -2.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-23 19:34
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.99%EV -4.76%E -2.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-23 19:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.99%EV -4.76%E -2.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-23 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.99%EV -4.76%E -2.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-23 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.99%EV -4.76%E -2.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-23 19:34
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -13.19%E -4.33%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.93%EV -9.11%E -4.85%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-25 00:34
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.09%EV -14.62%E -4.87%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.77%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -9.54%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-23 19:30
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -14.62%E -4.87%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.39%EV -10.56%E -5.71%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -13.02%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-25 00:35
1xBet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.02%EV -15.76%E -5.32%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%EV -3.31%E -1.66%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.07%EV -7.68%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-25 00:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 29.21%EV -16.61%E -5.67%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 47.02%EV -12.01%E -6.60%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.77%EV -16.50%E -4.58%K -6.34%G +0.000%16.9%2026-02-25 00:33
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.79%EV -17.46%E -6.02%K -9.19%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 47.47%EV -12.01%E -6.60%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.74%EV -11.86%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%15.7%2026-02-25 00:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (11)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-02-25 00:35
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%4.9%2026-02-24 12:59
Bet Right🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%5.2%2026-02-24 22:54
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%6.2%2026-02-24 23:09
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%7.4%2026-02-24 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%8.1%2026-02-24 17:09
Smarkets◎2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%8.4%2026-02-25 00:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%9.0%2026-02-24 22:55
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%9.1%2026-02-23 19:34
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%9.1%2026-02-23 19:34
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%9.1%2026-02-23 19:35