The School of Odds
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Iowa Wild v Manitoba Moose

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iowa Wild (Local)

Prediction 39.32%2.54fair odd
EV +1118.98%
Edge +36.10%
Kelly +37.30%
Growth +417.37%

assuming max odds 31.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
2.86%32.16%39.94%40.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.054.062.3031.0048.78%24.65%43.48%3.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Manitoba Moose (Visit)

Prediction 38.23%2.62fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -0.982%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.00%45.41%37.59%75.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.182.342.452.5584.75%42.74%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.44%4.46fair odd
EV -5.73%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.87%22.43%22.46%23.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.064.104.2027.03%24.65%24.39%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iowa Wild (Local): 39.32%; Manitoba Moose (Visit): 38.23%; Draw: 22.44%. For Iowa Wild (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 31.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1118.98%.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betway🎯31.00I 3.23%NM 2.86%EV +1118.98%E +36.10%K +37.30%G +417.37%1.18I 84.75%NM 75.02%EV -54.88%E -46.51%K -304.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-24 02:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -7.59%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -13.97%E -6.21%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-24 01:35
GTbets🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.32%EV -7.99%E -3.41%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.00%EV -2.50%E -0.982%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.68%EV -6.63%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-23 05:45
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.56%E -4.16%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.47%EV -5.18%E -2.09%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-22 16:30
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.56%E -4.16%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.47%EV -5.18%E -2.09%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-22 16:30
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.56%E -4.16%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.47%EV -5.18%E -2.09%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-22 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.56%E -4.16%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.47%EV -5.18%E -2.09%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-22 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.56%E -4.16%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.47%EV -5.18%E -2.09%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-22 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.56%E -4.16%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.47%EV -5.18%E -2.09%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -5.73%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-22 16:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -9.56%E -4.16%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.33%E -2.58%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44%EV -7.98%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-23 05:04
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.31%EV -11.53%E -5.12%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -6.33%E -2.58%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-23 05:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.06%EV -11.53%E -5.12%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 37.40%EV -7.86%E -3.26%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.22%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-24 00:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 39.91%EV -12.71%E -5.72%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.38%EV -9.39%E -3.96%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -12.47%E -3.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-23 05:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.76%EV -13.49%E -6.13%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -8.24%E -3.43%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -7.98%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-23 06:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.75%EV -15.46%E -7.19%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.16%EV -12.06%E -5.24%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.10%EV -16.96%E -4.58%K -6.28%G +0.000%17.0%2026-10-24 02:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 40.35%EV -19.39%E -9.46%K -18.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.60%EV -15.89%E -7.22%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.06%EV -15.83%E -4.22%K -5.76%G +0.000%20.9%2026-10-23 06:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%5.3%2026-10-23 23:55
theScore Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%5.5%2026-10-24 02:38
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%7.2%2026-10-23 19:45
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%8.0%2026-10-22 16:30
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%8.0%2026-10-22 16:30
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%8.0%2026-10-22 16:30
Smarkets◎1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%8.1%2026-10-23 12:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%9.0%2026-10-23 23:59
Kalshi◎1.11I 90.09%NM 48.61%1.05I 95.24%NM 51.39%85.3%2026-10-24 02:55