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Iowa Wild v Chicago Wolves

Kickoff: 2026-03-26 00:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iowa Wild (Local)

Prediction 31.60%3.16fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.56%31.54%31.60%32.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.902.883.0636.36%34.50%34.72%32.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Wolves (Visit)

Prediction 46.06%2.17fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -2.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.23%46.34%46.06%48.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.992.012.1056.18%50.33%49.75%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.34%4.48fair odd
EV -3.92%
Edge -0.911%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.96%22.11%22.34%23.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.013.954.3026.67%24.93%25.32%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iowa Wild (Local): 31.60%; Chicago Wolves (Visit): 46.06%; Draw: 22.34%. For Chicago Wolves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -3.27%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 30.83%EV -3.32%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.93%EV -7.42%E -3.69%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.25%EV -5.26%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-25 23:59
1xBet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.78%EV -3.95%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.26%EV -8.80%E -4.45%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 21.96%EV -4.81%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-25 23:59
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -5.21%E -1.74%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.99%EV -15.25%E -8.29%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.96%EV -3.92%E -0.911%K -1.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-26 00:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33%EV -6.79%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.37%EV -14.79%E -7.99%K -17.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -6.15%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-26 00:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -5.58%E -2.72%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -6.15%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 00:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.55%EV -11.11%E -5.75%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.62%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-26 00:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.70%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 47.33%EV -16.17%E -8.89%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%EV -16.21%E -4.32%K -5.89%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-26 00:01
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.56%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 48.17%EV -18.01%E -10.12%K -23.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.27%EV -13.97%E -3.63%K -4.90%G +0.000%16.6%2026-03-26 00:05
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.25%EV -9.00%E -3.13%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.74%E -2.97%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-26 00:06
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.25%EV -9.00%E -3.13%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.74%E -2.97%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-26 00:06
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.25%EV -9.00%E -3.13%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.74%E -2.97%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-26 00:06
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.25%EV -9.00%E -3.13%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.74%E -2.97%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-26 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.25%EV -9.00%E -3.13%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.74%E -2.97%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-26 00:06
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.25%EV -9.00%E -3.13%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -3.27%E -1.56%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.74%E -2.97%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-26 00:06
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.28%EV -6.04%E -2.96%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -13.97%E -3.63%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-26 00:05
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.09%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.30%EV -13.41%E -7.13%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.61%EV -13.97%E -3.63%K -4.90%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-25 23:59
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -13.11%E -4.77%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -7.88%E -3.94%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -10.62%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-26 00:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%5.1%2026-03-26 00:05
Bet Right🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%5.2%2026-03-25 23:59
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%7.4%2026-03-26 00:05
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%7.4%2026-03-26 00:05
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%7.5%2026-03-26 00:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%7.6%2026-03-25 23:59
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%7.8%2026-03-26 00:05
Smarkets◎2.20I 45.45%NM 41.95%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%8.3%2026-03-26 00:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%9.1%2026-03-25 23:59