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Iowa Wild v Chicago Wolves

Kickoff: 2026-04-02 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iowa Wild (Local)

Prediction 34.72%2.88fair odd
EV -4.53%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -2.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.24%34.40%34.72%35.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.602.652.7542.55%38.46%37.74%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Wolves (Visit)

Prediction 42.49%2.35fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -2.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.77%43.02%42.49%44.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.172.202.2850.51%46.05%45.45%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.79%4.39fair odd
EV -4.28%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.89%22.58%22.79%24.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.683.913.854.2027.17%25.60%25.97%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iowa Wild (Local): 34.72%; Chicago Wolves (Visit): 42.49%; Draw: 22.79%. For Chicago Wolves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.35. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.28, with an expected value of -3.12%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.43%EV -4.53%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.28%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -6.56%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 00:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.24%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.87%EV -15.02%E -7.51%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -6.56%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-01 20:14
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -8.00%E -3.02%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.77%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -12.25%E -3.18%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-01 00:04
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -8.00%E -3.02%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.77%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -12.25%E -3.18%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-01 00:04
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -8.00%E -3.02%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.77%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -12.25%E -3.18%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -8.00%E -3.02%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.77%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -12.25%E -3.18%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-01 00:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -8.00%E -3.02%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.77%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -12.25%E -3.18%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-01 00:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -8.00%E -3.02%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.77%EV -3.12%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -12.25%E -3.18%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-01 00:05
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -9.74%E -3.74%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.83%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-01 04:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -9.74%E -3.74%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.40%EV -9.49%E -4.46%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -9.97%E -2.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-01 00:05
1xBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.72%EV -11.47%E -4.50%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.88%EV -9.29%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-01 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -11.47%E -4.50%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.81%EV -10.77%E -5.13%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -6.56%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-01 00:05
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -11.47%E -4.50%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.83%EV -6.52%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -14.53%E -3.88%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.65%EV -13.21%E -5.28%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -12.89%E -6.29%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.10%EV -14.53%E -3.88%K -5.28%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-01 23:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.81%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 42.01%EV -13.74%E -6.77%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.18%EV -16.13%E -4.38%K -6.02%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-01 23:36
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 35.44%EV -18.42%E -7.84%K -13.64%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 42.06%EV -15.87%E -8.01%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.51%EV -15.67%E -4.24%K -5.80%G +0.000%20.1%2026-04-01 00:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%4.1%2026-04-01 23:55
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%5.1%2026-04-01 23:54
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%5.3%2026-04-01 00:05
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%7.8%2026-04-01 00:05
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%7.8%2026-04-01 00:05
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%7.8%2026-04-01 00:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%8.1%2026-04-01 22:59
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%8.4%2026-04-01 00:04
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%8.5%2026-04-01 12:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.26%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%9.4%2026-04-01 23:54