The School of Odds
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Hershey Bears v W-B/Scranton Penguins

2026-11-14 00:00 UTC — AHL

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hershey Bears (Local)

Prediction 37.94%2.64fair odd
EV -4.39%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -2.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.87%38.33%37.94%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.402.392.5245.45%41.75%41.84%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

W-B/Scranton Penguins (Visit)

Prediction 39.74%2.52fair odd
EV -6.62%
Edge -2.82%
Kelly -4.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.99%39.33%39.74%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.262.282.3547.62%44.25%43.86%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.32%4.48fair odd
EV -4.90%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.49%22.34%22.32%23.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.994.004.2627.03%25.04%25.00%23.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hershey Bears (Local): 37.94%; W-B/Scranton Penguins (Visit): 39.74%; Draw: 22.32%. For Hershey Bears (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.64. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.52, with an expected value of -4.39%; they do not produce positive expected value.

11 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -4.39%E -1.74%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.36%EV -7.02%E -3.00%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.17%EV -4.90%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-12 12:20
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.87%EV -7.81%E -3.37%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%EV -10.71%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-12 12:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.87%EV -7.81%E -3.37%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%EV -10.71%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-12 12:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.87%EV -7.81%E -3.37%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%EV -10.71%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-12 12:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.87%EV -7.81%E -3.37%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%EV -10.71%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-12 12:30
1xBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 36.87%EV -6.29%E -2.55%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 40.65%EV -10.99%E -4.91%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.48%EV -9.59%E -2.37%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-12 18:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.95%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.69%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -8.47%E -2.07%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-12 12:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.76%EV -9.70%E -4.08%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 39.77%EV -10.19%E -4.51%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -10.71%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-12 12:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 37.83%EV -10.46%E -4.43%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 39.85%EV -10.99%E -4.91%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -10.71%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-12 12:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.40%EV -10.84%E -4.61%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.11%EV -10.59%E -4.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -6.24%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-12 12:20
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.09%EV -10.84%E -4.61%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 39.98%EV -13.37%E -6.13%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.94%EV -15.17%E -3.99%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.7%2026-11-12 12:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -14.64%E -6.50%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -10.71%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-12 18:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.32%EV -14.64%E -6.50%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.99%EV -16.55%E -7.88%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.69%EV -17.40%E -4.70%K -6.45%G +0.000%19.1%2026-11-12 12:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.07%EV -16.53%E -7.52%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.89%EV -16.55%E -7.88%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.04%EV -15.17%E -3.99%K -5.42%G +0.000%19.4%2026-11-12 12:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (11)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%5.4%2026-11-12 12:30
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%7.0%2026-11-12 12:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%7.1%2026-11-12 12:30
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.34%7.6%2026-11-12 12:28
Bally Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.34%7.6%2026-11-12 12:30
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%7.9%2026-11-12 12:20
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%7.9%2026-11-12 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%7.9%2026-11-12 16:05
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.22%8.5%2026-11-12 12:29
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%9.0%2026-11-12 18:30
Smarkets◎1.85I 54.05%NM 49.04%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%10.2%2026-11-12 12:20

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