The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Henderson Silver Knights v San Jose Barracuda

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 01:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Henderson Silver Knights (Local)

Prediction 45.06%2.22fair odd
EV -0.871%
Edge -0.396%
Kelly -0.725%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.58%45.57%45.06%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.102.142.2053.48%47.66%46.73%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Jose Barracuda (Visit)

Prediction 33.80%2.96fair odd
EV -5.37%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -2.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.91%33.46%33.80%36.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.662.752.8042.55%37.57%36.36%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.14%4.73fair odd
EV -5.91%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.31%20.98%21.14%24.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.063.904.4526.67%24.64%25.64%22.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Henderson Silver Knights (Local): 45.06%; San Jose Barracuda (Visit): 33.80%; Draw: 21.14%. For Henderson Silver Knights (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -0.871%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -0.871%E -0.396%K -0.725%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -17.54%E -4.50%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 18:09
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -0.871%E -0.396%K -0.725%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -17.54%E -4.50%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 18:10
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -0.871%E -0.396%K -0.725%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -17.54%E -4.50%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -0.871%E -0.396%K -0.725%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -17.54%E -4.50%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 18:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -0.871%E -0.396%K -0.725%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -17.54%E -4.50%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -0.871%E -0.396%K -0.725%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -17.54%E -4.50%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -0.871%E -0.396%K -0.725%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -17.54%E -4.50%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 18:10
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.47%EV -3.12%E -1.45%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -11.11%E -4.23%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.00%EV -5.91%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 00:59
LeoVegas🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.05%EV -3.57%E -1.67%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.96%EV -10.44%E -3.94%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -20.71%E -5.52%K -7.53%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.63%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.54%EV -17.20%E -7.02%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -9.08%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 01:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.22%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.06%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -6.97%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 21:04
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.38%EV -10.44%E -3.94%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19%EV -9.08%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 01:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.58%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.27%EV -20.58%E -8.76%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.14%EV -18.60%E -4.83%K -6.52%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-12 01:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.88%E -4.94%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.83%EV -10.44%E -3.94%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -11.19%E -2.67%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 21:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 44.65%EV -12.59%E -6.49%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.97%EV -13.82%E -5.42%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.39%EV -14.37%E -3.55%K -4.71%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-12 00:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 44.56%EV -13.49%E -7.02%K -14.66%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 33.95%EV -14.83%E -5.89%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 21.49%EV -15.85%E -3.98%K -5.32%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-12 00:33
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.78%EV -15.74%E -8.42%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -5.37%E -1.92%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -6.97%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 21:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%2.8%2026-04-12 01:00
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%5.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%5.3%2026-04-11 18:50
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%7.5%2026-04-11 21:04
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%7.6%2026-04-11 18:09
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%7.6%2026-04-11 18:09
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%7.8%2026-04-11 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%7.9%2026-04-11 17:19
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%8.3%2026-04-11 21:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.26%9.4%2026-04-12 00:59