The School of Odds
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Henderson Silver Knights v San Jose Barracuda

Kickoff: 2026-04-25 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Henderson Silver Knights (Local)

Prediction 57.70%1.73fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -5.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%57.70%57.89%58.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.611.611.6763.69%61.92%62.11%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Jose Barracuda (Visit)

Prediction 42.30%2.36fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -2.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.64%42.30%42.11%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.212.202.2845.45%45.25%45.45%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Henderson Silver Knights (Local): 57.70%; San Jose Barracuda (Visit): 42.30%. For San Jose Barracuda (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.28, with an expected value of -3.55%; they did not produce positive expected value.

15 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.64%E -2.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:19
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.95%E -3.65%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.55%E -1.56%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 03:15
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 12:19
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.10%E -4.41%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 12:19
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.10%E -4.41%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 12:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.10%E -4.41%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 02:04
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.68%E -4.80%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 12:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -9.41%E -6.00%K -16.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-24 03:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%6.9%2026-04-24 02:30
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 56.91%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%10.5%2026-04-23 12:19

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (15)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
GTbets🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.51%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.35%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.15%7.0%2026-04-23 12:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.09%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%7.5%2026-04-24 02:05
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.21%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%7.9%2026-04-23 12:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.21%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%7.9%2026-04-23 12:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.21%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%7.9%2026-04-23 12:20
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.21%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%7.9%2026-04-23 12:20
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.21%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%7.9%2026-04-23 12:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.21%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%7.9%2026-04-23 12:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.21%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%7.9%2026-04-23 12:19
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.63%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.01%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%8.9%2026-04-23 12:24
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%10.7%2026-04-23 12:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.37%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.92%11.2%2026-04-23 12:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.01%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.22%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%12.0%2026-04-23 12:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 45.76%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.78%16.2%2026-04-24 02:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 45.86%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.73%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.40%19.8%2026-04-23 12:19