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Henderson Silver Knights v San Jose Barracuda

Kickoff: 2026-04-23 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Henderson Silver Knights (Local)

Prediction 43.22%2.31fair odd
EV -6.21%
Edge -2.86%
Kelly -5.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.00%43.22%43.29%44.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.122.162.1751.55%47.27%46.40%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Jose Barracuda (Visit)

Prediction 35.02%2.86fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -0.691%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.28%35.02%35.02%36.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.672.732.8042.55%37.46%36.70%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.75%4.60fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -0.667%
Kelly -0.859%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.90%21.75%21.68%23.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.053.954.4626.32%24.70%25.32%22.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Henderson Silver Knights (Local): 43.22%; San Jose Barracuda (Visit): 35.02%; Draw: 21.75%. For San Jose Barracuda (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.86. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -1.93%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.00%EV -6.21%E -2.86%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.31%EV -12.09%E -4.82%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.63%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 01:15
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.14%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -1.93%E -0.691%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -14.07%E -3.56%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 00:29
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.14%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -1.93%E -0.691%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -14.07%E -3.56%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 00:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.14%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -1.93%E -0.691%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -14.07%E -3.56%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 00:29
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.14%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -1.93%E -0.691%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -14.07%E -3.56%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 00:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.14%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -1.93%E -0.691%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -14.07%E -3.56%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 00:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.14%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -1.93%E -0.691%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -14.07%E -3.56%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 00:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.14%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -1.93%E -0.691%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -14.07%E -3.56%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 00:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.10%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -6.45%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 02:00
GTbets🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.29%EV -7.51%E -3.51%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.46%EV -3.68%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.25%EV -2.97%E -0.667%K -0.859%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 14:24
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.33%EV -9.24%E -4.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -8.63%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 06:19
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.91%EV -9.24%E -4.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -17.33%E -4.56%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 00:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.85%EV -11.40%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.25%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.90%EV -6.45%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 23:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.87%EV -11.40%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -12.98%E -3.25%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-22 23:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 43.07%EV -12.26%E -6.04%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.97%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 21.97%EV -13.42%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-23 01:38
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 43.05%EV -16.15%E -8.33%K -17.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.54%EV -17.69%E -7.53%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.41%EV -15.16%E -3.89%K -5.23%G +0.000%19.7%2026-04-21 23:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-04-23 01:10
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%5.3%2026-04-22 18:30
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%6.3%2026-04-21 23:30
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%7.6%2026-04-22 02:10
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%7.9%2026-04-23 00:29
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%7.9%2026-04-23 00:29
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%7.9%2026-04-23 00:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%7.9%2026-04-22 14:19
Smarkets◎1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%8.3%2026-04-22 20:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%9.4%2026-04-23 01:15