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Henderson Silver Knights v Ontario Reign

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Henderson Silver Knights (Local)

Prediction 33.23%3.01fair odd
EV -5.29%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -2.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.36%32.91%33.24%35.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.722.752.8539.22%36.77%36.36%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ontario Reign (Visit)

Prediction 44.51%2.25fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -2.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.36%44.81%44.45%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.082.112.1751.81%47.98%47.39%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.25%4.49fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -0.841%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.35%22.28%22.31%23.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.033.984.3325.97%24.84%25.16%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Henderson Silver Knights (Local): 33.23%; Ontario Reign (Visit): 44.51%; Draw: 22.25%. For Ontario Reign (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.25. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.17, with an expected value of -3.41%; they did not produce positive expected value.

11 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -5.29%E -1.85%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.30%EV -14.09%E -7.30%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -10.98%E -2.75%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 19:20
GTbets🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -6.95%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.51%EV -5.63%E -2.66%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.79%EV -3.64%E -0.841%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -6.95%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.80%EV -7.41%E -3.56%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.42%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 19:14
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.68%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.88%EV -3.85%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.10%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 19:19
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.68%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.88%EV -3.85%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.10%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 19:19
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.68%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.88%EV -3.85%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.10%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 19:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.68%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.88%EV -3.85%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.10%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 19:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.68%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.88%EV -3.85%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.10%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 19:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.68%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.88%EV -3.85%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.10%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 19:20
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -10.98%E -2.75%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-08 19:15
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -10.27%E -3.80%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -14.32%E -3.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 19:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.46%EV -10.27%E -3.80%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 44.50%EV -9.64%E -4.75%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -8.76%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-08 19:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.83%EV -11.93%E -4.50%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -6.53%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-08 19:14
1xBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.22%EV -13.26%E -5.08%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.36%EV -3.41%E -1.57%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -8.76%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 19:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.45%EV -13.59%E -5.23%K -8.50%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.14%EV -12.31%E -6.25%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.41%EV -13.65%E -3.52%K -4.74%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-08 19:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.88%EV -15.26%E -5.98%K -9.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.53%EV -13.65%E -7.03%K -14.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.60%EV -10.98%E -2.75%K -3.66%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-08 19:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (11)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%3.0%2026-03-08 20:20
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%5.0%2026-03-08 19:14
Bet Right🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%5.2%2026-03-08 19:30
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%6.4%2026-03-07 10:14
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%7.5%2026-03-08 14:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%7.9%2026-03-08 14:19
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%8.3%2026-03-08 19:14
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%8.3%2026-03-08 19:19
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%8.3%2026-03-08 19:20
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%8.3%2026-03-08 19:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%9.4%2026-03-08 18:59