The School of Odds
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Henderson Silver Knights v Coachella Valley Firebirds

2026-10-15 02:00 UTC — AHL

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Henderson Silver Knights (Local)

Prediction 40.69%2.46fair odd
EV -8.04%
Edge -3.56%
Kelly -6.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.11%40.69%40.69%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.192.202.2648.78%45.73%45.45%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Coachella Valley Firebirds (Visit)

Prediction 37.32%2.68fair odd
EV -6.70%
Edge -2.68%
Kelly -4.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.97%37.32%37.32%37.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.432.482.5045.45%41.19%40.40%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.99%4.55fair odd
EV -3.25%
Edge -0.740%
Kelly -0.957%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.01%21.99%21.99%22.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.204.304.4026.67%23.79%23.26%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Henderson Silver Knights (Local): 40.69%; Coachella Valley Firebirds (Visit): 37.32%; Draw: 21.99%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.55. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.40, with an expected value of -3.25%; they do not produce positive expected value.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 40.31%EV -8.04%E -3.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -8.56%E -3.50%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.50%EV -10.95%E -2.70%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-12 23:27
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.75%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.42%EV -8.56%E -3.50%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-12 23:24
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.02%EV -10.48%E -4.76%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.25%E -0.740%K -0.957%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-12 23:25
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.02%EV -10.48%E -4.76%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.25%E -0.740%K -0.957%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-12 23:24
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.02%EV -10.48%E -4.76%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.25%E -0.740%K -0.957%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-12 23:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.02%EV -10.48%E -4.76%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.25%E -0.740%K -0.957%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-12 23:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.02%EV -10.48%E -4.76%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.25%E -0.740%K -0.957%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-12 23:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.02%EV -10.48%E -4.76%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -6.70%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.25%E -0.740%K -0.957%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-12 23:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.98%EV -10.48%E -4.76%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%EV -10.43%E -4.35%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -7.65%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-12 23:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.63%EV -11.29%E -5.18%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.22%EV -11.18%E -4.70%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.15%EV -12.05%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-12 23:27
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.11%EV -14.55%E -6.93%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.43%EV -16.03%E -7.12%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.46%EV -17.55%E -4.68%K -6.38%G +0.000%18.7%2026-10-12 23:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 40.58%EV -16.58%E -8.09%K -15.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.81%EV -17.89%E -8.13%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.61%EV -15.35%E -3.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%20.2%2026-10-12 23:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%4.9%2026-10-12 23:29
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%6.8%2026-10-12 23:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%7.2%2026-10-12 23:29
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%7.8%2026-10-12 23:28
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%7.8%2026-10-12 23:34
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%8.4%2026-10-12 23:29
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 51.79%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%10.3%2026-10-12 23:25
Kalshi◎1.05I 95.24%NM 50.00%1.05I 95.24%NM 50.00%90.5%2026-10-13 00:19