The School of Odds
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Hartford Wolf Pack v W-B/Scranton Penguins

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 22:01 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hartford Wolf Pack (Local)

Prediction 33.53%2.98fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.714%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.46%33.19%33.73%36.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.652.622.9240.00%37.75%38.17%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

W-B/Scranton Penguins (Visit)

Prediction 44.64%2.24fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.34%45.02%44.35%47.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.072.042.1852.63%48.42%49.02%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.83%4.58fair odd
EV -5.47%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.35%21.79%21.91%22.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.174.254.3326.67%23.96%23.53%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hartford Wolf Pack (Local): 33.53%; W-B/Scranton Penguins (Visit): 44.64%; Draw: 21.83%. For Hartford Wolf Pack (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.98. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.92, with an expected value of -2.09%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.05%EV -2.09%E -0.714%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.33%EV -9.83%E -4.87%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.61%EV -5.47%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 21:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.46%EV -4.43%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.19%EV -15.19%E -7.99%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -8.31%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-10 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.82%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.29%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -7.22%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 21:55
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.73%E -5.36%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -8.31%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 22:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -11.62%E -5.87%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -8.31%E -1.98%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-10 22:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -11.14%E -4.20%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.10%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -10.49%E -2.56%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-10 21:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.49%EV -11.14%E -4.20%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 44.85%EV -14.30%E -7.45%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.66%EV -17.04%E -4.49%K -6.09%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-10 22:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.69%EV -12.15%E -4.64%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -10.73%E -5.36%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.18%EV -13.11%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-10 21:51
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.20%EV -14.49%E -5.68%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.34%EV -2.69%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -6.13%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.20%EV -14.49%E -5.68%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.34%EV -2.69%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -6.13%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.20%EV -14.49%E -5.68%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.34%EV -2.69%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -6.13%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.20%EV -14.49%E -5.68%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.34%EV -2.69%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -6.13%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.20%EV -14.49%E -5.68%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.34%EV -2.69%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -6.13%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 14:01
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.20%EV -14.49%E -5.68%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.34%EV -2.69%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -6.13%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -16.17%E -6.47%K -10.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 43.60%EV -13.40%E -6.91%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.56%EV -18.14%E -4.84%K -6.59%G +0.000%18.2%2026-10-10 21:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%5.0%2026-10-10 21:55
Bet Right🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%5.3%2026-10-10 21:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%6.8%2026-10-10 21:59
Bally Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%7.9%2026-10-10 14:00
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%7.9%2026-10-10 14:01
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%8.3%2026-10-10 21:55
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%8.5%2026-10-10 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.26%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%9.4%2026-10-10 21:55
Kalshi◎1.45I 68.97%NM 46.69%1.27I 78.74%NM 53.31%47.7%2026-10-10 22:01