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Hartford Wolf Pack v Springfield Thunderbirds

2026-11-15 00:15 UTC — AHL

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hartford Wolf Pack (Local)

Prediction 40.98%2.44fair odd
EV -6.56%
Edge -2.88%
Kelly -5.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.54%40.92%40.98%41.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.192.212.2850.00%45.57%45.25%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Springfield Thunderbirds (Visit)

Prediction 35.52%2.82fair odd
EV -4.09%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -2.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.76%35.14%35.52%35.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.552.602.7043.48%39.23%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.50%4.26fair odd
EV -6.02%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.42%23.95%23.50%25.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.843.924.0028.57%26.07%25.48%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hartford Wolf Pack (Local): 40.98%; Springfield Thunderbirds (Visit): 35.52%; Draw: 23.50%. For Springfield Thunderbirds (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.82. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.70, with an expected value of -4.09%; they do not produce positive expected value.

4 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.42%EV -6.56%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.97%EV -4.09%E -1.51%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -6.02%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-13 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.97%EV -6.97%E -3.07%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -7.64%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -6.02%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-14 00:20
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.07%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -7.64%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -7.19%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-13 12:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.07%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -7.64%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -7.19%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-13 12:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.07%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -7.64%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -7.19%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-13 12:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.07%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%EV -7.64%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -7.19%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-13 12:35
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.44%EV -9.02%E -4.06%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.98%EV -6.58%E -2.50%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-13 12:39
Codere (IT)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -9.84%E -4.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -9.42%E -3.69%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -9.54%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-13 12:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -9.84%E -4.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.76%EV -5.87%E -2.21%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -17.77%E -5.08%K -7.11%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-13 21:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.95%EV -10.66%E -4.89%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 35.56%EV -10.84%E -4.32%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-13 12:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.71%EV -11.89%E -5.53%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.19%E -4.48%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%EV -6.02%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-13 12:44
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.01%EV -13.12%E -6.19%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.49%EV -12.97%E -5.29%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.50%EV -13.07%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%15.0%2026-11-13 12:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.54%EV -13.94%E -6.64%K -12.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.47%EV -14.75%E -6.14%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.98%EV -16.59%E -4.67%K -6.51%G +0.000%17.5%2026-11-14 00:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 41.24%EV -18.04%E -9.02%K -18.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 35.86%EV -18.30%E -7.96%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 22.91%EV -15.42%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000%21.3%2026-11-13 12:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (4)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%7.6%2026-11-13 12:34
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%7.6%2026-11-13 12:39
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%8.2%2026-11-13 12:35
Kalshi◎1.14I 87.72%NM 50.00%1.14I 87.72%NM 50.00%75.4%2026-11-14 01:20