The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Hartford Wolf Pack v Providence Bruins

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 23:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hartford Wolf Pack (Local)

Prediction 24.80%4.03fair odd
EV +1.69%
Edge +0.412%
Kelly +0.545%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.52%24.71%24.80%26.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.813.854.1031.25%26.22%25.97%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Providence Bruins (Visit)

Prediction 53.98%1.85fair odd
EV -6.08%
Edge -3.49%
Kelly -8.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.66%54.22%53.98%56.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.651.651.7463.29%60.42%60.61%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.22%4.71fair odd
EV -5.15%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.39%21.06%21.22%21.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.304.404.4725.64%23.27%22.73%22.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hartford Wolf Pack (Local): 24.80%; Providence Bruins (Visit): 53.98%; Draw: 21.22%. For Hartford Wolf Pack (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.03. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.69%.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +1.69%E +0.412%K +0.545%G +0.009%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -10.94%E -6.63%K -16.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 21:30
Casumo🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +1.69%E +0.412%K +0.545%G +0.009%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -10.94%E -6.63%K -16.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 21:30
PMU (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +1.69%E +0.412%K +0.545%G +0.009%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -10.94%E -6.63%K -16.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 21:30
Grosvenor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +1.69%E +0.412%K +0.545%G +0.009%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -10.94%E -6.63%K -16.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 21:30
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +1.69%E +0.412%K +0.545%G +0.009%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -10.94%E -6.63%K -16.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 21:30
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +1.69%E +0.412%K +0.545%G +0.009%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -10.94%E -6.63%K -16.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 21:30
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +1.69%E +0.412%K +0.545%G +0.009%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -10.94%E -6.63%K -16.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 21:30
LeoVegas🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -0.791%E -0.198%K -0.264%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -13.64%E -8.52%K -22.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.19%EV -9.82%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-10 21:30
GTbets🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -3.27%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.48%EV -6.08%E -3.49%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.21%EV -5.15%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 23:30
1xBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.75%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -9.32%E -5.55%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -8.12%E -1.87%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -7.70%E -4.50%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-09 23:04
Tipico (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -12.56%E -7.75%K -20.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.39%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-09 15:55
Betway🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -9.47%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.74%EV -8.78%E -5.19%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -9.82%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 03:05
Codere (IT)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.71%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.57%EV -9.32%E -5.55%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -10.88%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-08 23:30
Winamax (DE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -11.95%E -3.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.91%EV -9.32%E -5.55%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-08 23:29
Unibet (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.21%EV -14.43%E -4.18%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 53.04%EV -11.48%E -7.00%K -17.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.75%EV -15.12%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-10 22:49
Betclic (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 25.47%EV -16.91%E -5.05%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 52.66%EV -12.56%E -7.75%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.87%EV -17.24%E -4.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-10 22:33
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 26.07%EV -20.63%E -6.45%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 52.81%EV -14.72%E -9.31%K -25.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.12%EV -16.18%E -4.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%19.9%2026-04-08 23:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%1.0%2026-04-10 22:40
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%5.2%2026-04-09 12:45
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%6.0%2026-04-08 23:29
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%7.6%2026-04-10 21:30
Bally Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%7.6%2026-04-10 21:30
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%7.6%2026-04-09 07:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%7.8%2026-04-09 23:05
Smarkets◎2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%8.4%2026-04-10 11:05
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%8.6%2026-04-10 21:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%9.2%2026-04-09 23:05