The School of Odds
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Hartford Wolf Pack v Charlotte Checkers

Kickoff: 2026-03-29 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hartford Wolf Pack (Local)

Prediction 30.93%3.23fair odd
EV -7.22%
Edge -2.41%
Kelly -3.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.41%31.23%30.93%33.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.802.853.0040.00%35.76%35.09%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charlotte Checkers (Visit)

Prediction 46.51%2.15fair odd
EV +1.39%
Edge +0.635%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.016%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.12%45.92%46.51%46.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.062.122.1853.48%48.59%47.17%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.57%4.43fair odd
EV -9.73%
Edge -2.43%
Kelly -3.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.41%22.85%22.57%24.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.833.904.0028.17%26.08%25.64%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hartford Wolf Pack (Local): 30.93%; Charlotte Checkers (Visit): 46.51%; Draw: 22.57%. For Charlotte Checkers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.15. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.18, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.39%.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.46%EV -10.01%E -3.44%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.33%EV +1.39%E +0.635%K +1.17%G +0.016%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -11.99%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 19:25
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.65%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.49%EV -0.475%E -0.222%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -11.99%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 19:10
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.65%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.49%EV -0.475%E -0.222%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -11.99%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 19:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.65%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.49%EV -0.475%E -0.222%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -11.99%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 19:10
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.65%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.49%EV -0.475%E -0.222%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -11.99%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 19:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.65%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.49%EV -0.475%E -0.222%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -11.99%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 19:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.65%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.49%EV -0.475%E -0.222%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -11.99%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 19:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.52%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -1.41%E -0.663%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -11.99%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-27 19:10
1xBet🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 32.47%EV -12.48%E -4.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.35%EV -1.41%E -0.663%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -14.24%E -3.75%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 19:20
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -14.96%E -5.44%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.51%EV -4.20%E -2.04%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -15.37%E -4.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-27 19:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.23%EV -16.50%E -6.11%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.77%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.99%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-27 21:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 32.84%EV -19.59%E -7.54%K -12.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.92%E -4.00%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.05%EV -19.88%E -5.60%K -7.80%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-27 19:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 32.84%EV -19.59%E -7.54%K -12.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.92%E -4.00%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.05%EV -19.88%E -5.60%K -7.80%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-27 19:10
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -9.31%E -4.78%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -9.73%E -2.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-28 02:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.91%EV -10.32%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.68%EV -10.71%E -5.58%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -9.73%E -2.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-27 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.26%EV -22.69%E -9.07%K -15.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 43.31%EV -10.71%E -5.58%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.42%EV -19.88%E -5.60%K -7.80%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-27 21:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.07%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.52%EV -13.03%E -6.97%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.42%EV -12.44%E -3.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-27 01:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%5.0%2026-03-27 19:10
Bet Right🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%5.2%2026-03-27 18:29
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%7.5%2026-03-28 01:40
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%7.5%2026-03-27 19:05
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%7.5%2026-03-27 19:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%8.1%2026-03-27 22:00
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%8.3%2026-03-27 19:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%9.0%2026-03-27 22:05
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%10.0%2026-03-27 19:15
Kalshi◎1.08I 92.59%NM 50.00%1.08I 92.59%NM 50.00%85.2%2026-03-28 03:00