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Hartford Wolf Pack v Bridgeport Islanders

Kickoff: 2026-04-15 22:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hartford Wolf Pack (Local)

Prediction 34.64%2.89fair odd
EV -6.47%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -3.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.83%34.47%34.64%35.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.632.652.7041.67%38.05%37.74%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bridgeport Islanders (Visit)

Prediction 42.51%2.35fair odd
EV -4.34%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -3.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.10%42.74%42.51%44.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.162.202.2551.02%46.32%45.45%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.84%4.38fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -0.686%
Kelly -0.897%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.35%22.79%22.84%24.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.913.854.2527.03%25.56%25.97%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hartford Wolf Pack (Local): 34.64%; Bridgeport Islanders (Visit): 42.51%; Draw: 22.84%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.38. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.25, with an expected value of -2.92%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.47%E -2.39%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -12.05%E -3.13%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 07:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.47%E -2.39%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -12.05%E -3.13%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 07:04
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.47%E -2.39%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -12.05%E -3.13%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 07:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.47%E -2.39%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -12.05%E -3.13%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 07:05
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.47%E -2.39%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -12.05%E -3.13%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 07:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.47%E -2.39%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -12.05%E -3.13%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 07:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.47%E -2.39%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -12.05%E -3.13%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 07:04
GTbets🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 34.65%EV -7.50%E -2.81%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.43%EV -9.45%E -4.43%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 21.92%EV -3.60%E -0.853%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 06:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.83%EV -8.20%E -3.09%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -14.97%E -7.49%K -14.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -4.06%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-15 21:15
1xBet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -8.89%E -3.38%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -2.92%E -0.686%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 22:29
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -9.93%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -6.47%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -14.34%E -3.82%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-15 22:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.60%EV -9.93%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 42.63%EV -10.30%E -4.88%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.77%EV -9.77%E -2.47%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-13 22:54
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.93%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.19%EV -7.32%E -3.36%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -15.48%E -4.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-14 07:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.45%EV -9.93%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.70%EV -12.85%E -6.27%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -6.34%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-15 22:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 34.69%EV -12.35%E -4.88%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.40%EV -12.00%E -5.80%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 22.91%EV -12.51%E -3.27%K -4.42%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-15 22:02
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.75%EV -13.39%E -5.36%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.38%EV -12.85%E -6.27%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -13.20%E -3.47%K -4.71%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-15 22:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 34.91%EV -16.86%E -7.02%K -12.04%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 42.75%EV -16.67%E -8.51%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.34%EV -14.34%E -3.82%K -5.21%G +0.000%19.4%2026-04-13 22:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-04-15 22:30
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%5.1%2026-04-14 20:54
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%5.3%2026-04-15 22:29
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%7.6%2026-04-13 22:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%8.1%2026-04-14 22:44
Bally Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%8.2%2026-04-14 07:05
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%8.2%2026-04-14 07:05
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%8.3%2026-04-15 10:40
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%8.6%2026-04-14 07:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.26%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%9.4%2026-04-14 22:44