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Hartford Wolf Pack v Bridgeport Islanders

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hartford Wolf Pack (Local)

Prediction 37.82%2.64fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -2.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.47%37.57%37.82%41.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.162.312.252.5546.30%43.21%44.44%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bridgeport Islanders (Visit)

Prediction 39.58%2.53fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.415%
Kelly -0.692%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.80%39.84%39.58%40.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.352.332.5047.62%42.47%42.92%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.60%4.43fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -0.659%
Kelly -0.859%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.47%22.59%22.60%22.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.134.204.3026.67%24.23%23.81%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hartford Wolf Pack (Local): 37.82%; Bridgeport Islanders (Visit): 39.58%; Draw: 22.60%. For Bridgeport Islanders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -1.04%; they did not produce positive expected value.

11 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -3.56%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.80%EV -8.56%E -3.71%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.23%EV -4.19%E -0.988%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.08%EV -7.34%E -3.00%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.70%EV -6.98%E -2.97%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -5.09%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 00:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.47%EV -7.34%E -3.00%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -12.91%E -5.87%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -11.87%E -3.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-06 22:30
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 37.39%EV -7.72%E -3.16%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.36%EV -10.54%E -4.66%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -7.35%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 20:25
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.96%E -3.89%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-06 04:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.90%EV -9.99%E -4.20%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.56%EV -9.75%E -4.27%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-05 11:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.20%EV -11.13%E -4.73%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.90%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -7.35%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-05 11:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 37.72%EV -14.15%E -6.23%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 39.45%EV -14.10%E -6.50%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.83%EV -15.26%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-06 23:44
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.48%EV -15.66%E -7.02%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -1.04%E -0.415%K -0.692%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -2.83%E -0.659%K -0.859%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 00:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.48%EV -15.66%E -7.02%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -1.04%E -0.415%K -0.692%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -2.83%E -0.659%K -0.859%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 00:05
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.48%EV -15.66%E -7.02%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -1.04%E -0.415%K -0.692%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -2.83%E -0.659%K -0.859%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 00:05
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.48%EV -15.66%E -7.02%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -1.04%E -0.415%K -0.692%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -2.83%E -0.659%K -0.859%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.48%EV -15.66%E -7.02%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -1.04%E -0.415%K -0.692%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -2.83%E -0.659%K -0.859%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.48%EV -15.66%E -7.02%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -1.04%E -0.415%K -0.692%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -2.83%E -0.659%K -0.859%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 00:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 37.96%EV -16.80%E -7.64%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.77%EV -16.87%E -8.03%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.27%EV -15.26%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-05 11:35
LeoVegas🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.74%EV -18.31%E -8.48%K -15.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.80%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -5.09%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-05 00:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (11)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-03-06 22:45
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%4.8%2026-03-05 21:24
Bet Right🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%5.3%2026-03-06 21:40
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%7.0%2026-03-06 06:05
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%7.9%2026-03-05 11:35
Smarkets◎1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%8.1%2026-03-06 12:05
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%8.2%2026-03-05 00:05
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%8.2%2026-03-05 00:05
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%8.2%2026-03-05 00:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%8.2%2026-03-06 23:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%9.0%2026-03-06 00:20