Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hamilton Hammers v Toronto Marlies

2026-10-11 19:00 UTC — AHL

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hamilton Hammers (Local)

Prediction 48.20%2.07fair odd
EV -5.52%
Edge -2.82%
Kelly -5.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.00%48.20%48.23%48.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.931.921.9652.63%51.89%52.08%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Marlies (Visit)

Prediction 51.80%1.93fair odd
EV -4.69%
Edge -2.55%
Kelly -5.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.58%51.80%51.77%52.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.801.801.8456.50%55.51%55.56%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hamilton Hammers (Local): 48.20%; Toronto Marlies (Visit): 51.80%. For Toronto Marlies (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.93. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.84, with an expected value of -4.69%; they do not produce positive expected value.

11 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Right🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.52%E -2.82%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.69%E -2.55%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 14:00
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.97%E -3.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -6.25%E -3.45%K -7.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 14:00
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -7.45%E -3.88%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Bally Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -7.45%E -3.88%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:00
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%EV -7.93%E -4.15%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%EV -7.28%E -4.07%K -9.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.23%EV -8.42%E -4.43%K -9.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -8.32%E -4.70%K -10.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 19:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (11)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
GTbets🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.15%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.33%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.52%6.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.71%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.06%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%8.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.71%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.06%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%8.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.71%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.06%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%8.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.71%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.06%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%8.2%2026-10-10 14:01
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.71%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.06%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%8.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.71%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.06%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%8.2%2026-10-10 14:01
1xBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 36.93%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.54%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.52%9.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.10%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.45%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%11.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%12.0%2026-10-10 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.12%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.52%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.36%13.2%2026-10-10 14:00