The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Grand Rapids Griffins v Rockford IceHogs

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 23:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grand Rapids Griffins (Local)

Prediction 57.10%1.75fair odd
EV -5.21%
Edge -3.14%
Kelly -7.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.36%57.10%56.53%58.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.621.651.6665.79%61.86%60.61%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rockford IceHogs (Visit)

Prediction 22.38%4.47fair odd
EV -5.33%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.29%22.38%22.75%23.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.074.204.2326.67%24.55%23.81%23.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.52%4.87fair odd
EV -6.24%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -1.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.87%20.52%20.73%21.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.324.304.5725.00%23.17%23.26%21.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grand Rapids Griffins (Local): 57.10%; Rockford IceHogs (Visit): 22.38%; Draw: 20.52%. For Grand Rapids Griffins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.75. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.66, with an expected value of -5.21%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.26%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.17%EV -9.81%E -2.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.57%EV -6.86%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 22:59
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.28%EV -5.33%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.62%EV -6.24%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 04:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -8.24%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 22:29
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -6.01%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -11.78%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 14:30
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -6.01%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -11.78%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 14:29
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -6.01%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -11.78%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 14:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -6.01%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -11.78%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 14:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -6.01%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -11.78%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 14:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -6.01%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -11.78%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 14:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -6.01%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -11.78%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 14:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.95%EV -8.06%E -5.01%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -12.72%E -3.26%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.95%EV -11.78%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 22:29
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -8.63%E -5.40%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -8.24%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -13.83%E -3.29%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.11%EV -9.78%E -6.19%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -11.60%E -2.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.36%EV -10.35%E -6.59%K -18.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -16.08%E -4.29%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.46%EV -16.91%E -4.18%K -5.54%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-11 22:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 55.70%EV -11.49%E -7.41%K -20.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%EV -14.96%E -3.94%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.58%EV -17.94%E -4.48%K -5.98%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-11 23:03
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 56.15%EV -12.06%E -7.83%K -22.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.76%EV -14.96%E -3.94%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.09%EV -15.88%E -3.87%K -5.12%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-11 23:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.83%EV -13.20%E -8.69%K -25.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -6.01%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -7.68%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 22:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%2.9%2026-04-11 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%5.3%2026-04-11 07:25
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%6.0%2026-04-11 23:05
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%7.8%2026-04-11 04:14
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%8.0%2026-04-11 14:29
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%8.0%2026-04-11 14:30
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%8.3%2026-04-11 14:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%8.4%2026-04-11 04:19
Smarkets◎1.38I 72.46%NM 66.83%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%8.4%2026-04-11 22:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%9.2%2026-04-11 05:09