The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Grand Rapids Griffins v Milwaukee Admirals

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grand Rapids Griffins (Local)

Prediction 54.78%1.83fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -2.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.83%54.60%54.78%56.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.661.661.7962.50%60.13%60.24%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Admirals (Visit)

Prediction 24.23%4.13fair odd
EV -0.676%
Edge -0.165%
Kelly -0.218%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.55%24.46%24.23%25.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.823.804.1028.99%26.19%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.99%4.76fair odd
EV -4.90%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.38%20.93%20.99%22.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.934.244.254.5325.45%23.57%23.53%22.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grand Rapids Griffins (Local): 54.78%; Milwaukee Admirals (Visit): 24.23%; Draw: 20.99%. For Milwaukee Admirals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.10, with an expected value of -0.676%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.83%EV -1.94%E -1.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.28%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.89%EV -9.31%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 23:00
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.65%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.72%EV -8.43%E -2.23%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 20.63%EV -4.90%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 22:59
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.02%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -15.21%E -4.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -9.73%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.87%E -4.04%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.52%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 22:59
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.70%EV -9.06%E -5.46%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -0.676%E -0.165%K -0.218%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -10.78%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.70%EV -9.06%E -5.46%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -0.676%E -0.165%K -0.218%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -10.78%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 23:00
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.70%EV -9.06%E -5.46%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -0.676%E -0.165%K -0.218%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -10.78%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 23:00
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.70%EV -9.06%E -5.46%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -0.676%E -0.165%K -0.218%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -10.78%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.70%EV -9.06%E -5.46%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -0.676%E -0.165%K -0.218%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -10.78%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.70%EV -9.06%E -5.46%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -0.676%E -0.165%K -0.218%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -10.78%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 23:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.23%EV -9.06%E -5.46%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -10.37%E -2.80%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -11.83%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-14 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.20%EV -9.06%E -5.46%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -14.00%E -3.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-14 23:00
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.63%EV -10.16%E -6.19%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.97%EV -5.52%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -16.03%E -4.01%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 23:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.87%EV -11.25%E -6.95%K -18.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.58%EV -14.00%E -3.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.55%EV -14.98%E -3.70%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-14 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.35%EV -11.25%E -6.95%K -18.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.05%EV -16.42%E -4.76%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.61%EV -16.03%E -4.01%K -5.34%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-14 23:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -12.35%E -7.72%K -20.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -7.94%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-14 22:58
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 53.45%EV -12.35%E -7.72%K -20.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.79%EV -16.42%E -4.76%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 21.76%EV -17.50%E -4.45%K -5.97%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-14 22:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.1%2026-03-14 23:00
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%5.2%2026-03-14 22:59
theScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%5.8%2026-03-14 23:00
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%7.2%2026-03-14 23:00
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%7.2%2026-03-14 23:00
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%7.8%2026-03-14 22:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%7.8%2026-03-14 22:59
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%8.2%2026-03-14 23:00
Smarkets◎1.41I 70.92%NM 65.36%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.64%8.5%2026-03-14 23:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%9.2%2026-03-14 22:59