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Grand Rapids Griffins v Manitoba Moose

Kickoff: 2026-02-26 00:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grand Rapids Griffins (Local)

Prediction 52.31%1.91fair odd
EV -6.37%
Edge -3.56%
Kelly -8.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.58%52.42%52.31%53.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.761.781.7959.88%56.75%56.18%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Manitoba Moose (Visit)

Prediction 26.79%3.73fair odd
EV -4.90%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -1.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.24%26.73%26.79%28.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.393.453.5532.79%29.50%28.99%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.90%4.78fair odd
EV -5.94%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.93%20.86%20.90%23.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.244.254.5026.67%23.60%23.53%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grand Rapids Griffins (Local): 52.31%; Manitoba Moose (Visit): 26.79%; Draw: 20.90%. For Manitoba Moose (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.55, with an expected value of -4.90%; they did not produce positive expected value.

11 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.55%EV -6.37%E -3.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.58%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -11.17%E -2.63%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 00:10
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.55%EV -6.37%E -3.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.58%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -11.17%E -2.63%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.55%EV -6.37%E -3.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.58%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -11.17%E -2.63%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 00:10
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.55%EV -6.37%E -3.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.58%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -11.17%E -2.63%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.55%EV -6.37%E -3.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.58%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -11.17%E -2.63%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.55%EV -6.37%E -3.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.58%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -11.17%E -2.63%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 00:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -6.89%E -3.87%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.58%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -5.94%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-25 23:59
LeoVegas🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.39%EV -6.89%E -3.87%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.60%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%EV -16.39%E -4.10%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-26 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 48.58%EV -6.89%E -3.87%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.35%EV -18.29%E -6.00%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.06%EV -21.62%E -5.76%K -7.86%G +0.000%15.6%2026-02-26 00:09
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.76%EV -7.41%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -4.90%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 20.94%EV -6.78%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 23:59
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -7.41%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -12.21%E -2.91%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-26 00:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -8.98%E -5.16%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -11.60%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.95%EV -10.12%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-26 00:01
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.51%EV -10.03%E -5.83%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -10.26%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%EV -8.03%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-26 00:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 51.49%EV -12.12%E -7.21%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.61%EV -12.94%E -3.98%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.90%EV -17.44%E -4.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%15.6%2026-02-26 00:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -12.64%E -7.57%K -18.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -5.94%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-25 23:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (11)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%5.3%2026-02-25 23:59
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%5.8%2026-02-26 00:10
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%6.3%2026-02-26 00:09
Kalshi◎1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%7.1%2026-02-26 00:10
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%7.6%2026-02-26 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%7.6%2026-02-25 23:59
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%8.0%2026-02-26 00:10
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%8.0%2026-02-26 00:10
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%8.0%2026-02-26 00:10
Smarkets◎1.47I 68.03%NM 62.78%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%8.3%2026-02-25 23:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%9.0%2026-02-25 23:59