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Grand Rapids Griffins v Manitoba Moose

Kickoff: 2026-05-06 23:20 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grand Rapids Griffins (Local)

Prediction 54.97%1.82fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.09%54.97%54.97%56.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.701.721.7864.52%58.80%58.14%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Manitoba Moose (Visit)

Prediction 23.42%4.27fair odd
EV -3.96%
Edge -0.967%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.22%23.42%23.42%24.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.803.754.1028.17%26.29%26.67%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.60%4.63fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -0.720%
Kelly -0.927%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.82%21.60%21.60%23.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.064.004.4825.64%24.64%25.00%22.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grand Rapids Griffins (Local): 54.97%; Manitoba Moose (Visit): 23.42%; Draw: 21.60%. For Grand Rapids Griffins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.78, with an expected value of -2.14%; they did not produce positive expected value.

11 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.09%EV -2.14%E -1.20%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 20:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.09%EV -2.14%E -1.20%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 20:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.09%EV -2.14%E -1.20%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 20:30
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.09%EV -2.14%E -1.20%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 20:30
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.09%EV -2.14%E -1.20%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 20:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.09%EV -2.14%E -1.20%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 20:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.09%EV -2.14%E -1.20%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 20:30
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.29%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -14.50%E -3.97%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -15.75%E -4.04%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-06 20:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.69%EV -8.19%E -4.91%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -3.96%E -0.967%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.11%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 23:09
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -8.19%E -4.91%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -12.16%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-06 23:05
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.20%EV -8.74%E -5.27%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 22.98%EV -4.90%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 20.82%EV -3.22%E -0.720%K -0.927%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 22:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.12%EV -9.84%E -6.00%K -15.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.54%EV -16.85%E -4.75%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.34%EV -15.75%E -4.04%K -5.43%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-06 22:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.74%EV -13.14%E -8.32%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.85%EV -7.11%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-06 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 55.56%EV -14.24%E -9.13%K -25.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.22%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.22%EV -15.75%E -4.04%K -5.43%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-06 23:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 55.39%EV -14.79%E -9.54%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.59%EV -10.99%E -2.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.01%EV -15.75%E -4.04%K -5.43%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-06 23:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (11)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%5.0%2026-05-06 23:01
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%5.2%2026-05-06 17:14
Kalshi◎1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%6.1%2026-05-06 23:05
GTbets🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%6.5%2026-05-06 23:05
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%7.3%2026-05-06 20:30
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%7.3%2026-05-06 20:30
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%7.8%2026-05-04 02:36
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%7.8%2026-05-06 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%7.8%2026-05-06 17:15
Smarkets◎1.42I 70.42%NM 65.02%2.64I 37.88%NM 34.98%8.3%2026-05-06 11:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.75%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%9.4%2026-05-05 23:50