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Grand Rapids Griffins v Iowa Wild

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grand Rapids Griffins (Local)

Prediction 57.46%1.74fair odd
EV -5.18%
Edge -3.14%
Kelly -7.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.93%57.60%57.46%58.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.601.621.6565.79%62.36%61.73%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iowa Wild (Visit)

Prediction 21.39%4.68fair odd
EV -5.90%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.33%21.20%21.39%23.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.134.104.4025.97%24.23%24.39%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.15%4.73fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.356%
Kelly -0.454%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.13%21.20%21.15%21.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.934.284.304.6525.45%23.37%23.26%21.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grand Rapids Griffins (Local): 57.46%; Iowa Wild (Visit): 21.39%; Draw: 21.15%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.65, with an expected value of -1.66%; they did not produce positive expected value.

11 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.99%EV -5.18%E -3.14%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -12.32%E -3.00%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.48%EV -9.06%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 00:00
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.99%EV -5.18%E -3.14%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -12.32%E -3.00%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.48%EV -9.06%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 23:59
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.99%EV -5.18%E -3.14%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -12.32%E -3.00%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.48%EV -9.06%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 23:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.99%EV -5.18%E -3.14%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -12.32%E -3.00%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.48%EV -9.06%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 23:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.99%EV -5.18%E -3.14%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -12.32%E -3.00%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.48%EV -9.06%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 23:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.99%EV -5.18%E -3.14%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -12.32%E -3.00%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.48%EV -9.06%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 23:59
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -5.76%E -3.51%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -16.59%E -4.26%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -13.29%E -3.24%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 23:59
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.82%EV -6.33%E -3.88%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.52%EV -6.33%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.67%EV -3.56%E -0.781%K -1.000%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 00:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.86%EV -6.91%E -4.26%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.90%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -4.83%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 23:59
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.79%EV -6.91%E -4.26%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.08%EV -9.32%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.13%EV -1.66%E -0.356%K -0.454%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 23:59
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -7.48%E -4.65%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.18%E -2.42%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 23:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -9.21%E -5.83%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -10.18%E -2.42%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-01 00:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.64%EV -10.35%E -6.64%K -18.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -12.32%E -3.00%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 23:59
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 56.50%EV -11.50%E -7.47%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.75%EV -14.46%E -3.61%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.75%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.9%2026-02-28 23:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.86%EV -12.65%E -8.32%K -24.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -5.90%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -9.06%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-28 23:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 56.64%EV -12.65%E -8.32%K -24.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.36%EV -17.66%E -4.59%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.00%EV -13.29%E -3.24%K -4.29%G +0.000%16.2%2026-02-28 23:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 56.23%EV -12.65%E -8.32%K -24.33%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.03%EV -17.02%E -4.39%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 21.75%EV -16.88%E -4.30%K -5.76%G +0.000%17.0%2026-02-28 23:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (11)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%5.3%2026-03-01 00:00
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%5.8%2026-02-28 23:59
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%6.9%2026-02-28 23:59
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%6.9%2026-03-01 00:00
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%8.3%2026-02-28 23:59
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%8.3%2026-02-28 23:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%8.5%2026-02-28 23:59
Smarkets◎1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%8.6%2026-03-01 00:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%9.1%2026-02-28 23:59
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%9.2%2026-03-01 00:00
Kalshi◎1.30I 76.92%NM 68.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 31.25%11.9%2026-03-01 00:00