The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Grand Rapids Griffins v Chicago Wolves

Kickoff: 2026-10-11 20:09 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grand Rapids Griffins (Local)

Prediction 36.30%2.76fair odd
EV +0.180%
Edge +0.065%
Kelly +0.102%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.53%36.92%36.30%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.542.542.7643.48%39.44%39.37%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Wolves (Visit)

Prediction 41.16%2.43fair odd
EV -6.56%
Edge -2.89%
Kelly -5.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.78%40.83%41.16%42.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.192.232.2748.78%45.58%44.84%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.54%4.44fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -0.716%
Kelly -0.933%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.03%22.25%22.54%23.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.993.904.3027.03%25.07%25.64%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grand Rapids Griffins (Local): 36.30%; Chicago Wolves (Visit): 41.16%; Draw: 22.54%. For Grand Rapids Griffins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.755. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.760, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.180%.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.53%EV +0.180%E +0.065%K +0.102%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -8.62%E -3.88%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.53%EV -4.66%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 17:00
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.87%EV -3.81%E -1.44%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.44%EV -8.21%E -3.68%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-11 16:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.87%EV -3.81%E -1.44%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.44%EV -8.21%E -3.68%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-11 16:29
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.87%EV -3.81%E -1.44%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.44%EV -8.21%E -3.68%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-11 16:30
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.87%EV -3.81%E -1.44%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.44%EV -8.21%E -3.68%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-11 16:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.87%EV -3.81%E -1.44%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.44%EV -8.21%E -3.68%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-11 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.87%EV -3.81%E -1.44%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.44%EV -8.21%E -3.68%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-11 16:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.29%EV -7.44%E -2.92%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.13%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-11 16:34
1xBet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.90%EV -8.17%E -3.23%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.13%EV -6.56%E -2.89%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -4.21%E -0.990%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 19:59
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -9.26%E -3.70%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.15%EV -9.44%E -4.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-11 16:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.26%EV -9.98%E -4.03%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.25%EV -10.26%E -4.71%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-11 16:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.91%EV -11.07%E -4.52%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -11.50%E -5.35%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03%EV -3.08%E -0.716%K -0.933%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-11 20:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.04%EV -12.89%E -5.37%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.19%EV -13.56%E -6.46%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.76%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.12%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-11 20:02
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.27%EV -14.70%E -6.26%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.58%EV -15.61%E -7.62%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.14%EV -13.22%E -3.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%17.3%2026-10-11 20:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 35.95%EV -14.70%E -6.26%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.21%EV -15.61%E -7.62%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.83%EV -16.60%E -4.49%K -6.15%G +0.000%18.4%2026-10-11 19:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.91%EV -16.52%E -7.18%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.78%EV -7.38%E -3.28%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -5.33%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-11 16:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%5.1%2026-10-11 19:19
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%5.6%2026-10-11 16:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%7.1%2026-10-11 19:19
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%7.5%2026-10-11 16:30
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%7.5%2026-10-11 16:30
Smarkets◎1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%8.4%2026-10-11 16:35
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%8.6%2026-10-11 16:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%9.1%2026-10-11 19:14
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 42.24%1.28I 78.13%NM 57.76%35.3%2026-10-11 20:05