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Grand Rapids Griffins v Chicago Wolves

Kickoff: 2026-03-28 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grand Rapids Griffins (Local)

Prediction 49.88%2.00fair odd
EV -5.73%
Edge -3.03%
Kelly -6.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.10%49.88%49.98%50.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.821.831.8958.82%54.80%54.64%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Wolves (Visit)

Prediction 27.94%3.58fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.28%27.94%27.95%28.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.253.353.4534.48%30.77%29.85%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.18%4.51fair odd
EV -4.41%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.52%22.18%22.06%23.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.024.004.3126.32%24.88%25.00%23.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grand Rapids Griffins (Local): 49.88%; Chicago Wolves (Visit): 27.94%; Draw: 22.18%. For Chicago Wolves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.45, with an expected value of -3.59%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.10%EV -5.73%E -3.03%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-26 23:05
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -6.23%E -3.32%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-26 23:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -6.23%E -3.32%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-26 23:05
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -6.23%E -3.32%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-26 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -6.23%E -3.32%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-26 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -6.23%E -3.32%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-26 23:04
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.88%EV -7.73%E -4.18%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -3.59%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 21.84%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 04:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -7.73%E -4.18%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -5.74%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 23:05
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -9.18%E -2.82%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -11.28%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-28 03:05
LeoVegas🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.34%EV -9.23%E -5.07%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -9.18%E -2.82%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -13.50%E -3.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-26 23:05
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.81%EV -9.72%E -5.37%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.29%EV -5.83%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -6.85%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-27 04:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.82%EV -9.72%E -5.37%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -9.06%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-27 09:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -10.22%E -5.68%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -6.85%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-27 09:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.38%EV -12.22%E -6.94%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.22%EV -13.93%E -4.52%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.40%EV -13.94%E -3.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-28 01:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.30%EV -12.72%E -7.27%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.29%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.41%EV -14.61%E -3.79%K -5.13%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-27 23:05
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.30%EV -12.72%E -7.27%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.29%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.41%EV -14.61%E -3.79%K -5.13%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-27 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 49.17%EV -15.21%E -8.95%K -21.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.83%EV -18.96%E -6.54%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.00%EV -15.72%E -4.14%K -5.61%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-27 09:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%3.8%2026-03-28 02:50
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%4.9%2026-03-26 23:04
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%5.4%2026-03-27 04:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%6.7%2026-03-27 23:05
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%7.4%2026-03-26 23:04
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%7.9%2026-03-26 23:05
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%7.9%2026-03-26 23:05
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%8.3%2026-03-26 23:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%9.2%2026-03-27 23:05
Smarkets◎1.49I 67.11%NM 60.89%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.11%10.2%2026-03-27 09:10