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Grand Rapids Griffins v Chicago Wolves

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 23:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grand Rapids Griffins (Local)

Prediction 50.75%1.97fair odd
EV -4.59%
Edge -2.44%
Kelly -5.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.16%50.97%50.75%53.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.761.731.8859.88%56.93%57.64%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Wolves (Visit)

Prediction 27.52%3.63fair odd
EV +7.34%
Edge +1.88%
Kelly +2.53%
Growth +0.186%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.67%27.33%27.52%28.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.543.503.9032.79%28.24%28.57%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.73%4.60fair odd
EV -4.82%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.92%21.70%21.73%22.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.124.104.3826.32%24.28%24.39%22.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grand Rapids Griffins (Local): 50.75%; Chicago Wolves (Visit): 27.52%; Draw: 21.73%. For Chicago Wolves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.63. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.34%.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.60%EV -12.21%E -7.06%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV +7.34%E +1.88%K +2.53%G +0.186%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 22:35
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.60%EV -12.21%E -7.06%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV +7.34%E +1.88%K +2.53%G +0.186%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 22:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.60%EV -12.21%E -7.06%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV +7.34%E +1.88%K +2.53%G +0.186%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 22:35
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.60%EV -12.21%E -7.06%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV +7.34%E +1.88%K +2.53%G +0.186%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 22:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.60%EV -12.21%E -7.06%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV +7.34%E +1.88%K +2.53%G +0.186%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 22:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.60%EV -12.21%E -7.06%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV +7.34%E +1.88%K +2.53%G +0.186%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 22:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.60%EV -12.21%E -7.06%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV +7.34%E +1.88%K +2.53%G +0.186%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 22:35
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -15.25%E -9.13%K -22.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV +4.58%E +1.21%K +1.64%G +0.075%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.08%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-10 22:35
GTbets🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.09%EV -4.59%E -2.44%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.98%EV -2.02%E -0.568%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.93%EV -4.82%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 23:30
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.35%EV -7.64%E -4.20%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.17%EV -5.32%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -5.47%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -7.13%E -3.90%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 23:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.94%EV -12.71%E -7.39%K -17.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-09 15:55
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -8.65%E -4.81%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -7.65%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 23:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.46%EV -9.67%E -5.43%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -10.91%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-08 23:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.53%EV -9.67%E -5.43%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -13.31%E -4.22%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.92%EV -6.56%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-10 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 49.96%EV -11.70%E -6.72%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -14.68%E -4.74%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.01%EV -14.17%E -3.59%K -4.80%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-10 22:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 49.59%EV -11.70%E -6.72%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.29%EV -16.06%E -5.26%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.12%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-10 23:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.16%EV -11.19%E -6.40%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.20%EV -16.06%E -5.26%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.64%EV -17.43%E -4.59%K -6.22%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-10 23:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%5.1%2026-04-10 21:25
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%5.4%2026-04-08 23:29
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%6.7%2026-04-08 23:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%6.7%2026-04-09 23:05
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%7.1%2026-04-10 23:05
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%7.3%2026-04-10 21:24
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%7.3%2026-04-10 21:25
Smarkets◎1.50I 66.67%NM 61.73%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%8.0%2026-04-10 11:05
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%8.5%2026-04-10 22:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%9.0%2026-04-10 19:25