The School of Odds
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Coachella Valley Firebirds v San Jose Barracuda

Kickoff: 2026-03-29 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coachella Valley Firebirds (Local)

Prediction 51.78%1.93fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.578%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.74%51.78%52.63%52.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.811.811.9157.14%55.21%55.10%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Jose Barracuda (Visit)

Prediction 48.22%2.07fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -3.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.30%48.22%47.37%50.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.911.922.0054.64%52.39%52.08%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coachella Valley Firebirds (Local): 51.78%; San Jose Barracuda (Visit): 48.22%. For Coachella Valley Firebirds (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.93. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.91, with an expected value of -1.10%; they did not produce positive expected value.

15 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -1.10%E -0.578%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -8.86%E -4.69%K -9.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 18:29
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.28%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.79%E -5.83%K -12.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 13:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -11.75%E -6.42%K -14.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-28 01:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -11.75%E -6.42%K -14.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-28 01:05
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.80%E -3.78%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.56%E -1.78%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 22:10
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -8.87%E -5.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -5.49%E -2.80%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-27 22:10
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -8.87%E -5.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -5.49%E -2.80%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-27 22:10
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.39%E -5.36%K -12.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.97%E -3.06%K -6.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-27 22:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 52.47%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%10.2%2026-03-27 22:10
Kalshi◎1.05I 95.24%NM 49.76%1.04I 96.15%NM 50.24%91.4%2026-03-28 03:10

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (15)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
GTbets🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.69%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.23%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.08%5.9%2026-03-27 22:20
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%7.6%2026-03-27 22:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%7.6%2026-03-27 22:10
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%7.6%2026-03-27 22:10
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%7.6%2026-03-27 22:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%7.6%2026-03-27 22:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%7.6%2026-03-27 22:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.73%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%8.2%2026-03-27 22:10
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%9.2%2026-03-27 22:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.03%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%10.8%2026-03-27 22:15
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%11.0%2026-03-27 22:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 38.43%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%11.2%2026-03-28 00:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.47%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.98%17.5%2026-03-27 22:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.47%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.98%17.5%2026-03-27 22:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 40.64%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.14%20.0%2026-03-27 22:15