The School of Odds
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Coachella Valley Firebirds v San Jose Barracuda

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 02:08 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coachella Valley Firebirds (Local)

Prediction 41.16%2.43fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -0.859%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.88%41.16%40.53%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.292.302.3847.62%43.63%43.48%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Jose Barracuda (Visit)

Prediction 37.48%2.67fair odd
EV -4.05%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -2.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.90%37.48%38.05%39.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.372.402.5645.45%42.22%41.67%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.36%4.68fair odd
EV -5.16%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.74%21.36%21.42%22.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.144.104.4426.32%24.16%24.39%22.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coachella Valley Firebirds (Local): 41.16%; San Jose Barracuda (Visit): 37.48%; Draw: 21.36%. For Coachella Valley Firebirds (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.38, with an expected value of -2.05%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.88%EV -2.05%E -0.859%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.55%EV -10.04%E -4.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -12.42%E -3.03%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 00:05
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.88%EV -2.05%E -0.859%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.55%EV -10.04%E -4.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -12.42%E -3.03%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 00:05
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.88%EV -2.05%E -0.859%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.55%EV -10.04%E -4.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -12.42%E -3.03%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 00:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.88%EV -2.05%E -0.859%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.55%EV -10.04%E -4.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -12.42%E -3.03%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.88%EV -2.05%E -0.859%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.55%EV -10.04%E -4.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -12.42%E -3.03%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.88%EV -2.05%E -0.859%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.55%EV -10.04%E -4.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -12.42%E -3.03%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 00:05
1xBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.47%EV -2.46%E -1.04%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.47%EV -11.17%E -4.71%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.07%EV -5.16%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 01:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -8.17%E -3.33%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62%EV -8.15%E -1.89%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-23 19:45
GTbets🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.16%E -2.70%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.86%EV -4.05%E -1.58%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.74%EV -7.29%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-23 06:15
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.31%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.60%EV -11.92%E -5.07%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV -8.15%E -1.89%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 02:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.63%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.63%EV -15.67%E -6.96%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV -8.15%E -1.89%K -2.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 02:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.11%EV -9.45%E -4.30%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.24%EV -15.67%E -6.96%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.64%EV -18.83%E -4.95%K -6.72%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-24 02:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.89%EV -9.45%E -4.30%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.89%EV -17.54%E -7.97%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.22%EV -17.76%E -4.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-24 02:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.66%EV -11.51%E -5.35%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.76%EV -17.54%E -7.97%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.59%EV -15.62%E -3.96%K -5.30%G +0.000%17.3%2026-10-24 02:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.74%EV -13.57%E -6.46%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -6.30%E -2.52%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.28%E -2.45%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-23 19:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%4.8%2026-10-23 20:10
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%5.4%2026-10-24 00:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%7.1%2026-10-24 01:45
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%7.8%2026-10-23 22:53
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%7.8%2026-10-23 22:55
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%8.1%2026-10-24 00:05
Smarkets◎1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%8.2%2026-10-23 22:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.23%9.1%2026-10-24 00:10
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 51.39%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%11.2%2026-10-24 02:05