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Coachella Valley Firebirds v Henderson Silver Knights

Kickoff: 2026-04-09 01:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coachella Valley Firebirds (Local)

Prediction 36.25%2.76fair odd
EV -5.02%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -3.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.42%36.61%35.87%38.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.462.452.6243.48%40.70%40.82%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Henderson Silver Knights (Visit)

Prediction 41.29%2.42fair odd
EV +0.336%
Edge +0.138%
Kelly +0.235%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.36%40.95%41.63%42.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.292.302.4348.78%43.69%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.46%4.45fair odd
EV -5.00%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.78%22.44%22.51%23.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.803.983.954.2326.32%25.10%25.32%23.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coachella Valley Firebirds (Local): 36.25%; Henderson Silver Knights (Visit): 41.29%; Draw: 22.46%. For Henderson Silver Knights (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.42. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.43, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.336%.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -11.19%E -4.57%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.36%EV +0.336%E +0.138%K +0.235%G +0.001%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -11.29%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 01:25
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -11.19%E -4.57%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.36%EV +0.336%E +0.138%K +0.235%G +0.001%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -11.29%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 01:29
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -11.19%E -4.57%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.36%EV +0.336%E +0.138%K +0.235%G +0.001%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -11.29%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 01:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -11.19%E -4.57%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.36%EV +0.336%E +0.138%K +0.235%G +0.001%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -11.29%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 01:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -11.19%E -4.57%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.36%EV +0.336%E +0.138%K +0.235%G +0.001%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -11.29%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 01:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -11.19%E -4.57%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.36%EV +0.336%E +0.138%K +0.235%G +0.001%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -11.29%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 01:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -11.19%E -4.57%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.36%EV +0.336%E +0.138%K +0.235%G +0.001%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -11.29%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 01:29
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -13.72%E -5.77%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.58%EV -3.79%E -1.63%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -14.65%E -3.86%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-09 01:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -16.62%E -7.23%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-09 01:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.17%EV -12.27%E -5.07%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.34%EV -7.92%E -3.55%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-09 01:29
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.72%EV -5.02%E -1.92%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.16%EV -8.34%E -3.75%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.12%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 01:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.84%EV -5.75%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.97%EV -8.34%E -3.75%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -5.67%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 01:29
Betway🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.42%EV -7.56%E -2.97%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -11.23%E -5.22%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-09 01:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.77%EV -9.37%E -3.75%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.59%EV -11.23%E -5.22%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.64%EV -11.29%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-09 01:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.99%EV -14.81%E -6.30%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.43%EV -11.23%E -5.22%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.58%EV -13.53%E -3.51%K -4.75%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-09 01:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -9.37%E -3.75%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.51%EV -13.29%E -6.33%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -7.92%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-09 01:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.99%EV -13.00%E -5.42%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.14%EV -15.35%E -7.49%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.87%EV -11.29%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-09 01:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%3.0%2026-04-09 01:30
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%5.3%2026-04-09 01:29
Bet Right🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%5.4%2026-04-09 01:29
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%7.5%2026-04-09 01:29
Bally Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%7.5%2026-04-09 01:29
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%7.9%2026-04-09 01:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%8.2%2026-04-09 01:29
Smarkets◎1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%8.2%2026-04-09 01:29
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%8.7%2026-04-09 01:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.23%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%9.1%2026-04-09 01:29