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Coachella Valley Firebirds v Calgary Wranglers

Kickoff: 2026-03-26 01:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coachella Valley Firebirds (Local)

Prediction 46.91%2.13fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -0.936%
Kelly -1.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.79%47.16%46.91%48.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.931.932.0954.05%51.91%51.81%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Calgary Wranglers (Visit)

Prediction 31.25%3.20fair odd
EV -0.010%
Edge -0.003%
Kelly -0.005%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.92%31.02%31.25%31.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.023.013.2036.36%33.14%33.22%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.84%4.58fair odd
EV -6.08%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.45%21.82%21.84%23.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.054.004.3026.32%24.70%25.00%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coachella Valley Firebirds (Local): 46.91%; Calgary Wranglers (Visit): 31.25%; Draw: 21.84%. For Calgary Wranglers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.2003. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.2000, with an expected value of -0.010%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.79%EV -1.96%E -0.936%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.80%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.41%EV -6.73%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 01:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -6.18%E -3.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-26 01:30
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -7.59%E -3.85%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.33%EV -3.76%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 01:29
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.54%EV -8.52%E -4.37%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-26 01:30
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.82%EV -8.99%E -4.64%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -0.010%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-26 01:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.95%EV -9.46%E -4.90%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -0.010%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-26 01:30
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.95%EV -9.46%E -4.90%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -0.010%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-26 01:30
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.95%EV -9.46%E -4.90%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -0.010%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-26 01:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.95%EV -9.46%E -4.90%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -0.010%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-26 01:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.95%EV -9.46%E -4.90%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -0.010%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-26 01:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -9.46%E -4.90%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -10.44%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-26 01:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.93%EV -9.93%E -5.17%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-26 01:30
LeoVegas🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -12.28%E -6.57%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.96%EV -3.14%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -14.81%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-26 01:30
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.57%EV -12.28%E -6.57%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.10%EV -12.51%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.33%EV -14.81%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-26 01:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 46.31%EV -12.75%E -6.85%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.32%EV -14.07%E -5.12%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.37%EV -15.91%E -4.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-26 01:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.36%EV -13.22%E -7.14%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.82%EV -10.44%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-26 01:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 46.31%EV -13.22%E -7.14%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.15%EV -14.07%E -5.12%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.54%EV -17.00%E -4.47%K -6.07%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-26 01:28
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%5.2%2026-03-26 01:30
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%5.2%2026-03-26 01:29
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%6.9%2026-03-26 01:30
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%7.5%2026-03-26 01:30
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%7.5%2026-03-26 01:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%8.1%2026-03-26 01:28
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.36%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.64%8.3%2026-03-26 01:30
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.95%8.3%2026-03-26 01:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%9.0%2026-03-26 01:29