The School of Odds
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Cleveland Monsters v Syracuse Crunch

Kickoff: 2026-04-24 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Monsters (Local)

Prediction 38.54%2.59fair odd
EV -5.95%
Edge -2.44%
Kelly -4.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.33%38.54%38.64%41.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.282.232.4446.51%43.91%44.84%40.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Syracuse Crunch (Visit)

Prediction 38.71%2.58fair odd
EV +1.81%
Edge +0.688%
Kelly +1.11%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 2.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.32%38.71%38.67%39.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.472.512.6345.45%40.49%39.84%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.74%4.40fair odd
EV -5.16%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.90%22.74%22.70%23.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.034.104.1726.67%24.81%24.39%23.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Monsters (Local): 38.54%; Syracuse Crunch (Visit): 38.71%; Draw: 22.74%. For Syracuse Crunch (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.58. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.81%.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%EV -14.05%E -6.30%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV +1.81%E +0.688%K +1.11%G +0.020%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 05:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%EV -14.05%E -6.30%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV +1.81%E +0.688%K +1.11%G +0.020%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 05:00
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%EV -14.05%E -6.30%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV +1.81%E +0.688%K +1.11%G +0.020%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 05:00
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%EV -14.05%E -6.30%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV +1.81%E +0.688%K +1.11%G +0.020%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 05:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%EV -14.05%E -6.30%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV +1.81%E +0.688%K +1.11%G +0.020%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 05:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%EV -14.05%E -6.30%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV +1.81%E +0.688%K +1.11%G +0.020%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 05:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%EV -14.05%E -6.30%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%EV +1.81%E +0.688%K +1.11%G +0.020%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 04:59
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -17.13%E -7.97%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.32%EV -1.29%E -0.505%K -0.830%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV -10.16%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 05:00
GTbets🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.16%EV -7.11%E -2.95%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.21%EV -4.38%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.63%EV -5.16%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 23:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.68%EV -7.49%E -3.12%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.68%EV -7.09%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 23:29
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.65%EV -9.42%E -4.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.65%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -9.02%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-24 02:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -11.35%E -4.93%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.96%E -4.77%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -6.75%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 23:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.31%EV -10.19%E -4.37%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.81%EV -10.96%E -4.77%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -11.30%E -2.90%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 23:35
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 37.33%EV -5.95%E -2.44%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 39.78%EV -11.35%E -4.96%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.89%EV -9.48%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 23:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.46%EV -13.27%E -5.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.46%EV -12.90%E -5.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -14.71%E -3.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-23 23:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.89%EV -15.20%E -6.91%K -12.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.89%EV -14.84%E -6.74%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.22%EV -12.43%E -3.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-23 23:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%5.3%2026-04-23 23:59
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%6.2%2026-04-24 02:00
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%7.0%2026-04-23 23:29
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%7.2%2026-04-23 05:00
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%7.2%2026-04-23 04:59
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%8.1%2026-04-23 22:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%8.2%2026-04-24 03:19
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%8.3%2026-04-23 04:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%9.0%2026-04-23 23:29
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 49.86%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.14%10.2%2026-04-23 23:30